National trends in the management of low-risk prostate cancer: analyzing the impact of Medicaid expansion in the United States.

purposeTo evaluate recent trends in the management of low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) and analyze differences in adoption of surveillance based on state Medicaid-expansion status in the United States (US).

methodsUsing the National Cancer Database, we identified men diagnosed from 2012 to 2016. Men with histologically confirmed low-risk PCa defined as PSA less than 10 ng/ml, Gleason score ≤ 6, and cT1-T2a were included. The Cochran Armitage test was used to evaluate trends in surveillance versus treatment. Comparisons on surveillance adoption based on 2014 Medicaid expansion status and difference-in-difference analysis were performed.

resultsThe cohort included 84,340 men. During the study period, surveillance as initial management increased from 13.6% in 2012 to 32.1% in 2016 (p < 0.01). When comparing by Medicaid-expansion status, expansion states had higher rates in adoption of surveillance as compared to non-expansion states over the study period (36.6 vs 28.5%). Following expansion, men in expansion states were 1.94% more likely to be treated with surveillance than in earlier years (p < 0.01). Men in non-expansion states were 1.97% more likely to receive surveillance following expansion (p < 0.01) for a relative 0.03% difference in active surveillance adoption among men with low-risk PCa (95% CI - 0.004 to 0.013, p = 0.344).

conclusionBased on the data from 2012 to 2016, there has been a significant increase in active surveillance as initial management for low-risk PCa in the US. Medicaid expansion was not found to be detrimental in adoption of surveillance. Understanding the impact of payer status on health outcomes can aid in the development of future health care policies aiming to mitigate disparities.