Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32285025›Full record

ArticleNature machine intelligence2020

Deep-learning-based Prediction of Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression.

Qi Yan, Daniel E Weeks, Hongyi Xin, Anand Swaroop, Emily Y Chew, Heng Huang, Ying Ding, Wei Chen

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature machine intelligence, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 134 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. AMD-Mamba: A Phenotype-Aware Multi-modal Framework for Robust AMD Prognosis.Machine learning in medical imaging. MLMI (Workshop) · 2026
    Article
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  18. tdCoxSNN: Time-dependent Cox survival neural network for continuous-time dynamic prediction.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2025
    Article
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5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Qi YanDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Daniel E WeeksDepartment of Human Genetics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Hongyi XinDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Anand SwaroopNeurobiology Neurodegeneration and Repair Laboratory, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.
Emily Y ChewDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.
Heng HuangDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Swanson School of Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Ying DingDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Wei ChenDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
University of Pittsburgh · USNational Institutes of Health · US

Funding

Mechanisms, modeling and therapies of retinal and macular neurodegenerationZIAEY000546 · NEI · NATIONAL EYE INSTITUTE · PI SWAROOP, ANAND · 2015 to 2025
$36.3M
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA EY000546
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Both genetic and environmental factors influence the etiology of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a leading cause of blindness. AMD severity is primarily measured by fundus images and recently developed machine learning methods can successfully predict AMD progression using image data. However, none of these methods have utilized both genetic and image data for predicting AMD progression. Here we jointly used genotypes and fundus images to predict an eye as having progressed to late AMD with a modified deep convolutional neural network (CNN). In total, we used 31,262 fundus images and 52 AMD-associated genetic variants from 1,351 subjects from the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) with disease severity phenotypes and fundus images available at baseline and follow-up visits over a period of 12 years. Our results showed that fundus images coupled with genotypes could predict late AMD progression with an averaged area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.85 (95%CI: 0.83-0.86). The results using fundus images alone showed an averaged AUC of 0.81 (95%CI: 0.80-0.83). We implemented our model in a cloud-based application for individual risk assessment.

Identifiers

PMID32285025
PMCPMC7153739
OpenAlexW3006229125

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.