Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32283071›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of obstetrics and gynecology2020

Vaginal bleeding and nausea in early pregnancy as predictors of clinical pregnancy loss.

Elizabeth A DeVilbiss, Ashley I Naimi, Sunni L Mumford, Neil J Perkins, Lindsey A Sjaarda, Jessica R Zolton, Robert M Silver, Enrique F Schisterman

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of obstetrics and gynecology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  3. A Scoping Review of 5-HTPharmacoepidemiology and drug safety · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Elizabeth A DeVilbissEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Ashley I NaimiDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Sunni L MumfordEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Neil J PerkinsEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Lindsey A SjaardaEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Jessica R ZoltonEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD.
Robert M SilverDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT.
Enrique F SchistermanEpidemiology Branch, Division of Intramural Population Health Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD. Electronic address: schiestee@mail.nih.gov.
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · USUniversity of Utah · US

Funding

Estimating the Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin on Fetal Loss in a Trial with Non-ComplianceR01HD093602 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NAIMI, ASHLEY ISAAC · 2018 to 2021
$1.2M
EAGeR Trial - The Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction TrialZ01HD008795 · NICHD · EUNICE KENNEDY SHRIVER NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF CHILD HEALTH & HUMAN DEVELOPMENT · PI SCHISTERMAN, ENRIQUE · 2007 to 2008
$596k
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 HD008795NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD093602
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough nausea and vaginal bleeding are commonly experienced in early pregnancy, their prognostic value in predicting clinical pregnancy loss is not well understood.

objectiveThis study aimed to understand whether timing of bleeding and nausea symptoms can be used to predict risk of pregnancy loss among women with ultrasound-confirmed pregnancies. STUDY

designA cohort of 701 women with clinically confirmed pregnancies and 1 to 2 previous pregnancy losses were preconceptionally enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction trial (2006-2012). Participants completed daily symptom diaries from 2 to 8 weeks' gestation and were prospectively monitored for detection of pregnancy loss. The risk of pregnancy loss was estimated for each observed bleeding and nausea pattern, and positive and negative predictive values for each pattern were calculated.

resultsAmong 701 women, 211 (30.1%) reported any vaginal bleeding, and 639 (91.2%) reported any nausea. Most bleeding experienced by women was spotting and contained within a single episode. Within 2 to <4, 4 to <6, and 6 to 8 weeks' gestation, vaginal bleeding occurred in 5.9% (41) (5.7% live birth, 7.1% clinical pregnancy loss), 14.6% (102) (13.9% live birth, 18.6% clinical pregnancy loss), and 20.8% (146) (18.4% live birth, 32.4% clinical pregnancy loss) of women, respectively. Within the same gestational periods, nausea was reported in 22.7% (159) (23.2% live birth, 20.4% clinical pregnancy loss), 65.9% (462) (67.5% live birth, 58.4% clinical pregnancy loss), and 87.0% (610) (90.6% live birth, 69.0% clinical pregnancy loss) of women. Women who had bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation (3.6% prevalance) had the greatest risk of clinical pregnancy loss (risk difference=56.1%; 95% confidence interval, 37.6-74.7), a positive predictive value of 68.0% (49.7%, 86.3%), negative predictive value of 85.8% (83.2%, 88.4%), positive likelihood ratio of 11.1 (2.04, 20.1), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.86 (0.79, 0.93). Nausea and bleeding are clinical factors that predicted clinical pregnancy loss (area under the curve, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.88) similar to age, body mass index, blood pressure, and waist-to-hip ratio (area under the curve, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.88) measured preconceptionally.

conclusionWomen experiencing bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation had an increased risk of clinical pregnancy loss. Bleeding and nausea were not predictive risk factors of clinical pregnancy loss prior to 6 weeks' gestation.

Indexed as

Abortion, SpontaneousAdultFemaleHumansMorning SicknessNauseaPregnancyPregnancy Complications, CardiovascularPregnancy Trimester, FirstRisk AssessmentTime FactorsUterine HemorrhageYoung Adultfetal lossgestational agemiscarriagepredictionpregnancy symptomsrisk factorsspontaneous abortiontimingvomiting

Identifiers

PMID32283071
PMCPMC7994023
OpenAlexW3015476419

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.