ArticleLancet (London, England)2020
First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment.
Article in Lancet (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05336851 (Emergency PanorOmic Wide Association Study in Respiratory Infectious Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 427 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Emergency PanorOmic Wide Association Study in Respiratory Infectious Disease (ePWAS-RID)
Who cites it
427 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission: rapid review of evidence from Italy, the United States, the United Kingdom, and China.Frontiers in public health · 2024Pooled it
- Clinical Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Variants during COVID-19 Vaccination: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Viruses · 2023Pooled it
- Computational models predicting the early development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden: systematic review, data synthesis, and secondary validation of accuracy.Scientific reports · 2022Pooled it
- Comorbidities and complications of COVID-19 associated with disease severity, progression, and mortality in China with centralized isolation and hospitalization: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2022Pooled it
- Gastroenterology manifestations and COVID-19 outcomes: A meta-analysis of 25,252 cohorts among the first and second waves.Journal of medical virology · 2021Pooled it
- Impact of the first booster vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 in Chile.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Robust estimation of the time-dependent reproduction number in the presence of weekend reporting effects.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- A modeling study on the critical sensitivity of epidemic peaks and final size to marginal changes in non-pharmaceutical intervention efficacy.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Article
- Burnout among COVID-19 hospital-based contact tracers in Singapore: results of a mixed-method, cross-sectional multicentre study.Singapore medical journal · 2025Article
- Explaining COVID-19 dynamics through user activity data from digital platforms with Yandex's self-isolation index as a case study.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The interaction between population age structure and policy interventions on the spread of COVID-19.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Changes in the epidemic patterns of respiratory pathogens of children in guangzhou, China during the COVID-19 pandemic.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Adaptive human behavior and delays in information availability autonomously modulate epidemic waves.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Article
- Urban pandemic governance personal protective equipment allocation strategies: a system dynamics simulation.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The virome composition of respiratory tract changes in school-aged children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection.Virology journal · 2025Article
- Comparing lagged impacts of mobility changes and environmental factors on COVID-19 waves in rural and urban India: A Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling study.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 in USA.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Refining Estimation of the Instantaneous Reproduction Number During Early Pandemic Stages: Addressing Case-Reporting Variability and Serial Interval Uncertainty.American journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
367 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundAs of March 18, 2020, 13 415 confirmed cases and 120 deaths related to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in mainland China, outside Hubei province-the epicentre of the outbreak-had been reported. Since late January, massive public health interventions have been implemented nationwide to contain the outbreak. We provide an impact assessment of the transmissibility and severity of COVID-19 during the first wave in mainland Chinese locations outside Hubei.
methodsWe estimated the instantaneous reproduction number (R
findingsIn all selected cities and provinces, the R
interpretationThe first wave of COVID-19 outside of Hubei has abated because of aggressive non-pharmaceutical interventions. However, given the substantial risk of viral reintroduction, particularly from overseas importation, close monitoring of R
fundingHealth and Medical Research Fund, Hong Kong, China.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.