Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32269207›Full record

ArticleJournal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis2021

A Combination of Blood Pressure and Total Cholesterol Increases the Lifetime Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Mortality: EPOCH-JAPAN.

Michihiro Satoh, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Kei Asayama, Yoshitaka Murakami, Daisuke Sugiyama, Takashi Waki, Sachiko Tanaka-Mizuno, Michiko Yamada, Shigeyuki Saitoh, Kiyomi Sakata and 10 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality according to age group and blood pressure categories of the latest guideline.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2025
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  14. Lifetime Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Japan.Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Michihiro SatohDivision of Public Health, Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University.
Takayoshi OhkuboDepartment of Hygiene and Public Health, Teikyo University School of Medicine.
Kei AsayamaDepartment of Hygiene and Public Health, Teikyo University School of Medicine.
Yoshitaka MurakamiDepartment of Medical Statistics, Toho University School of Medicine.
Daisuke SugiyamaFaculty of Nursing and Medical Care, School of Medicine, Keio University.
Takashi WakiDepartment of Medical Statistics, Shiga University of Medical Science.
Sachiko Tanaka-MizunoDepartment of Medical Statistics, Shiga University of Medical Science.
Michiko YamadaDepartment of Clinical Studies, Radiation Effects Research Foundation.
Shigeyuki SaitohDivision of Medical and Behavioral Subjects, Sapporo Medical University School of Health Sciences.
Kiyomi SakataDepartment of Hygiene and Preventive Medicine, Iwate Medical University School of Medicine.
Fujiko IrieDepartment of Health and Welfare, Ibaraki Prefectural Office.
Toshimi SairenchiDepartment of Public Health, Dokkyo Medical University School of Medicine.
Shizukiyo IshikawaMedical education center, Jichi medical university.
Masahiko KiyamaOsaka Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention.
Akira OkayamaResearch Institute of Strategy for Prevention.
Katsuyuki MiuraDepartment of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science.
Yutaka ImaiTohoku Institute for Management of Blood Pressure.
Hirotsugu UeshimaDepartment of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science.
Tomonori OkamuraDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, Keio University.
Evidence for Cardiovascular Prevention from Observational Cohorts in Japan (EPOCH–JAPAN) Research Group
Shiga University of Medical Science · JPKeio University · JPTeikyo University · JPDokkyo Medical University · JPIbaraki Prefectural Police · JPIwate Medical University · JPJichi Medical University · JPOsaka Medical Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Diseases · JPRadiation Effects Research Foundation · JPSapporo Medical University · JPTohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University · JPToho University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimLifetime risk (LTR) indicates the absolute risk of disease during the remainder of an individual's lifetime. We aimed to assess the LTRs for coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality associated with blood pressure (BP) and total cholesterol levels in an Asian population using a meta-analysis of individual participant data because no previous studies have assessed this risk.

methodsWe analyzed data from 105,432 Japanese participants in 13 cohorts. Apart from grade 1 and 2-3 hypertension groups, we defined "normal BP" as systolic/diastolic BP <130/<80 mmHg and "high BP" as 130-139/80-89 mmHg. The sex-specific LTR was estimated while considering the competing risk of death.

resultsDuring the mean follow-up period of 15 years (1,553,735 person-years), 889 CHD deaths were recorded. The 10-year risk of CHD mortality at index age 35 years was ≤ 0.11%, but the corresponding LTR was ≥ 1.84%. The LTR of CHD at index age 35 years steeply increased with an increase in BP of participants with high total cholesterol levels [≥ 5.7 mmol/L (220 mg/dL)]. This risk was 7.73%/5.77% (95% confidence interval: 3.53%-10.28%/3.83%-7.25%) in men/women with grade 2-3 hypertension and high total cholesterol levels. In normal and high BP groups, the absolute differences in LTRs between the low and high total cholesterol groups were ≤ 0.25% in men and ≤ 0.40% in women.

conclusionsHigh total cholesterol levels contributed to an elevated LTR of CHD mortality in hypertensive individuals. These findings could help guide high-risk young individuals toward initiating lifestyle changes or treatments.

Indexed as

Blood PressureAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCholesterolCoronary DiseaseFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansJapanMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsCholesterolBlood pressureCholesterolCohort studyCoronary heart diseaseLifetime risk

Identifiers

PMID32269207
PMCPMC7875142
OpenAlexW3015740651

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.