Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32267500›Full record

Observational studyBlood2020

International prognostic score for asymptomatic early-stage chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

Adalgisa Condoluci, Lodovico Terzi di Bergamo, Petra Langerbeins, Manuela A Hoechstetter, Carmen D Herling, Lorenzo De Paoli, Julio Delgado, Kari G Rabe, Massimo Gentile, Michael Doubek and 36 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Blood, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03436524 (Development of a Prognostic Tool for Predicting Prognosis in Early Stage Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 65 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed
11.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03436524 completednot on this map

Development of a Prognostic Tool for Predicting Prognosis in Early Stage Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Patients

TypeobservationalSponsorOncology Institute of Southern SwitzerlandRan2018 to 2020Enrolled4,933ConditionsChronic Lymphocytic Leukemia
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 136 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Refined Continuous Risk Index for Accurately Predicting Outcomes of Patients With Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia After Limited-Duration Therapy.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
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  14. Stereotyped B-Cell Receptor Immunoglobulins in B-Cell Lymphomas.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2025
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  20. Genetic alterations in chronic lymphocytic leukemia and plasma cell neoplasms - a practical guide to WHO HAEM5.Medizinische Genetik : Mitteilungsblatt des Berufsverbandes Medizinische Genetik e.V · 2024
    Article

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

46 authors at 19 institutions in 10 countries.

Adalgisa CondoluciInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Lodovico Terzi di BergamoInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Petra LangerbeinsCenter of Integrated Oncology Cologne Bonn and German CLL Study Group, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Manuela A HoechstetterHospital Munich-Schwabing, German CLL Study Group, Munich, Germany.
Carmen D HerlingCenter of Integrated Oncology Cologne Bonn and German CLL Study Group, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Lorenzo De PaoliDivision of Hematology, Department of Translational Medicine, University of Eastern Piedmont, Novara, Italy.
Julio DelgadoHospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain.
Kari G RabeMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Massimo GentileAzienda Ospedaliera of Cosenza, Cosenza, Italy.
Michael DoubekInterní Hematologická a Onkologická Klinika (IHOK), University Hospital Brno and Medical Faculty, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Francesca R MauroDivision of Hematology, Sapienza University, Rome, Italy.
Giorgia ChiodinCancer Sciences Division, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Mattias MattssonUppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
Jasmin BahloCenter of Integrated Oncology Cologne Bonn and German CLL Study Group, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Giovanna CutronaIRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genoa, Italy.
Jana KotaskovaInterní Hematologická a Onkologická Klinika (IHOK), University Hospital Brno and Medical Faculty, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Clara DeambrogiDivision of Hematology, Department of Translational Medicine, University of Eastern Piedmont, Novara, Italy.
Karin E SmedbyKarolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Valeria SpinaInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Alessio BruscagginInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Wei WuInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Riccardo MoiaDivision of Hematology, Department of Translational Medicine, University of Eastern Piedmont, Novara, Italy.
Elena BianchiOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Bernhard GerberOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Emanuele ZuccaOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Silke GillessenOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Michele GhielminiOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Franco CavalliOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Georg StussiOncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Mark A HessUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.
Tycho S BaumannHospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain.
Antonino NeriDepartment of Oncology and Hemato-Oncology, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Manlio FerrariniDepartment of Experimental Medicine, University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy.
Richard RosenquistKarolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Francesco ForconiCancer Sciences Division, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Robin FoàDivision of Hematology, Sapienza University, Rome, Italy.
Sarka PospisilovaInterní Hematologická a Onkologická Klinika (IHOK), University Hospital Brno and Medical Faculty, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Fortunato MorabitoBiotechnology Research Unit Aprigliano, Cosenza, Italy.
Stephan StilgenbauerDepartment of Internal Medicine III, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany; and.
Hartmut DöhnerDepartment of Internal Medicine III, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany; and.
Sameer A ParikhMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
William G WierdaUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.
Emili MontserratHospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain.
Gianluca GaidanoDivision of Hematology, Department of Translational Medicine, University of Eastern Piedmont, Novara, Italy.
Michael HallekCenter of Integrated Oncology Cologne Bonn and German CLL Study Group, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Davide RossiInstitute of Oncology Research, Università della Svizzera Italiana, Bellinzona, Switzerland.
Institute of Oncology Research · CHUniversità degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale “Amedeo Avogadro” · ITUniversity of Cologne · DECentral European Institute of Technology · CZHospital Clínic de Barcelona · ESKarolinska Institutet · SEMayo Clinic in Arizona · USSapienza University of Rome · ITThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity Hospital Ulm · DEAugusta Victoria Hospital · ILAzienda Ospedaliera di Cosenza · ITMünchen Klinik Schwabing · DEOspedale Policlinico San Martino · ITUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Genoa · ITUniversity of Milan · ITUniversity of Southampton · GBUppsala University Hospital · SE

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Cancer Research UK 23669Cancer Research UK 29101Cancer Research UK 29370NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) are diagnosed with early-stage disease and managed with active surveillance. The individual course of patients with early-stage CLL is heterogeneous, and their probability of needing treatment is hardly anticipated at diagnosis. We aimed at developing an international prognostic score to predict time to first treatment (TTFT) in patients with CLL with early, asymptomatic disease (International Prognostic Score for Early-stage CLL [IPS-E]). Individual patient data from 11 international cohorts of patients with early-stage CLL (n = 4933) were analyzed to build and validate the prognostic score. Three covariates were consistently and independently correlated with TTFT: unmutated immunoglobulin heavy variable gene (IGHV), absolute lymphocyte count higher than 15 × 109/L, and presence of palpable lymph nodes. The IPS-E was the sum of the covariates (1 point each), and separated low-risk (score 0), intermediate-risk (score 1), and high-risk (score 2-3) patients showing a distinct TTFT. The score accuracy was validated in 9 cohorts staged by the Binet system and 1 cohort staged by the Rai system. The C-index was 0.74 in the training series and 0.70 in the aggregate of validation series. By meta-analysis of the training and validation cohorts, the 5-year cumulative risk for treatment start was 8.4%, 28.4%, and 61.2% among low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk patients, respectively. The IPS-E is a simple and robust prognostic model that predicts the likelihood of treatment requirement in patients with early-stage CLL. The IPS-E can be useful in clinical management and in the design of early intervention clinical trials.

Indexed as

MutationNomogramsAgedBiomarkers, TumorClinical Trials as TopicCombined Modality TherapyDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLeukemia, Lymphocytic, Chronic, B-CellMalePrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival RateBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID32267500
PMCPMC11311630
OpenAlexW3014127006

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.