Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32267324›Full record

ArticleArquivos brasileiros de cardiologia

Analysis of Risk Scores to Predict Mortality in Patients Undergoing Cardiac Surgery for Endocarditis.

Fernando Pivatto Júnior, Clarissa Carmona de Azevedo Bellagamba, Eduardo Gatti Pianca, Fernando Schmidt Fernandes, Maurício Butzke, Stefano Boemler Busato, Miguel Gus

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Infective Endocarditis: Still More Challenges Than Convictions.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Fernando Pivatto JúniorHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.ORCID 0000-0003-1521-6608
Clarissa Carmona de Azevedo BellagambaHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.
Eduardo Gatti PiancaHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.
Fernando Schmidt FernandesHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.
Maurício ButzkeHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-1897-8301
Stefano Boemler BusatoHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.
Miguel GusHospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS - Brasil.
Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre · BR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk scores are available for use in daily clinical practice, but knowing which one to choose is still fraught with uncertainty.

objectivesTo assess the logistic EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, and the infective endocarditis (IE)-specific scores STS-IE, PALSUSE, AEPEI, EndoSCORE and RISK-E, as predictors of hospital mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery for active IE at a tertiary teaching hospital in Southern Brazil.

methodsRetrospective cohort study including all patients aged ≥ 18 years who underwent cardiac surgery for active IE at the study facility from 2007-2016. The scores were assessed by calibration evaluation (observed/expected [O/E] mortality ratio) and discrimination (area under the ROC curve [AUC]). Comparison of AUC was performed by the DeLong test. A p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

resultsA total of 107 patients were included. Overall hospital mortality was 29.0% (95%CI: 20.4-37.6%). The best O/E mortality ratio was achieved by the PALSUSE score (1.01, 95%CI: 0.70-1.42), followed by the logistic EuroSCORE (1.3, 95%CI: 0.92-1.87). The logistic EuroSCORE had the highest discriminatory power (AUC 0.77), which was significantly superior to EuroSCORE II (p = 0.03), STS-IE (p = 0.03), PALSUSE (p = 0.03), AEPEI (p = 0.03), and RISK-E (p = 0.02).

conclusionsDespite the availability of recent IE-specific scores, and considering the trade-off between the indexes, the logistic EuroSCORE seemed to be the best predictor of mortality risk in our cohort, taking calibration (O/E mortality ratio: 1.3) and discrimination (AUC 0.77) into account. Local validation of IE-specific scores is needed to better assess preoperative surgical risk. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2020; 114(3):518-524).

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresEndocarditisBrazilHospital MortalityHumansRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID32267324
PMCPMC7792725
OpenAlexW3014288176

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.