Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32253820›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2020

Development and external validation of a preoperative nomogram for predicting pathological locally advanced disease of clinically localized upper urinary tract carcinoma.

Takashi Yoshida, Takashi Kobayashi, Takayuki Kawaura, Makito Miyake, Katsuhiro Ito, Hiroshi Okuno, Takashi Murota, Noriyuki Makita, Mutsushi Kawakita, Gen Kawa and 8 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Takashi YoshidaDepartment of Urology and Andrology, Kansai Medical University, Kori Hospital, Osaka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1119-312X
Takashi KobayashiDepartment of Urology, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1069-2816
Takayuki KawauraDepartment of Mathematics, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Makito MiyakeDepartment of Urology, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-9503-7356
Katsuhiro ItoDepartment of Urology, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.
Hiroshi OkunoDepartment of Urology, National Hospital Organization Kyoto Medical Center, Kyoto, Japan.
Takashi MurotaDepartment of Urology and Andrology, Kansai Medical University, General Medical Center, Osaka, Japan.
Noriyuki MakitaDepartment of Urology, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe, Japan.
Mutsushi KawakitaDepartment of Urology, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe, Japan.
Gen KawaDepartment of Urology, Saiseikai Noe Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
Tomoki KitawakiDepartment of Mathematics, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Kiyohide FujimotoDepartment of Urology, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Japan.
Hideyasu MatsuyamaDepartment of Urology, Graduate School of Medicine, Yamaguchi University, Ube, Japan.
Hiroaki ShiinaDepartment of Urology, Shimane University School of Medicine, Izumo, Japan.
Haruhito AzumaDepartment of Urology, Osaka Medical College, Takatsuki, Japan.
Osamu OgawaDepartment of Urology, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.
Hidefumi KinoshitaDepartment of Urology and Andrology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Tadashi MatsudaDepartment of Urology and Andrology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop and validate a preoperative nomogram to predict pathological locally advanced disease (pLAD) of clinically localized upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) treated with extirpative surgery.

methodsIn total, 1101 patients with cN0M0 UTUC (development cohort, n = 604; validation cohort, n = 497) from 2 independent academic databases were retrospectively analyzed. pLAD was defined as pT3/4 and/or pN+. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop a nomogram. The accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated with a receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis.

resultsThe development and validation cohorts comprised 204 (33.8%) and 178 (35.8%) patients with pLAD, respectively. The multivariate analyses showed that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27; P < .001), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.56; P = .032), tumor location (HR, 1.60; P = .029), hydronephrosis (HR, 2.71; P < .001), and local invasion on imaging (HR, 8.59; P < .001) were independent predictive factors. After bootstrapping, a well-calibrated nomogram achieved discriminative accuracy of 0.77 in the development cohort. The decision curve analysis demonstrated improved risk prediction against threshold probabilities (≥8%) of pLAD. These results were consistent in the validation cohort.

conclusionOur novel nomogram allows for more highly accurate prediction of pLAD of UTUC. This nomogram integrates standard imaging and laboratory factors that help to identify patients who will benefit from preoperative chemotherapy, extended lymph node dissection, or both.

Indexed as

NomogramsPreoperative CareAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleNephrectomyPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveUrologic Neoplasmsnomogramprognosisrenal pelvissurgical procedureureterurothelial carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID32253820
PMCPMC7286474

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.