Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32251324›Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2020

Study of cardiovascular disease prediction model based on random forest in eastern China.

Li Yang, Haibin Wu, Xiaoqing Jin, Pinpin Zheng, Shiyun Hu, Xiaoling Xu, Wei Yu, Jing Yan

Open access · goldAbstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 137 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
137citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
30.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

137 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 339 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Usefulness of Random Forest Algorithm in Predicting Severe Acute Pancreatitis.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2022
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77 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Li Yang *Zhejiang Provincial Center for Cardiovascular Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China.
Haibin Wu *Ewell Technology Co., Ltd, Tower D of Oriental Communication Technology City, Hangzhou, 310000, China.
Xiaoqing JinChinese Acupuncture Department, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China.
Pinpin ZhengKey Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Health Communication Institute, Fudan University, 138 Yixueyuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Shiyun HuZhejiang Provincial Center for Cardiovascular Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China.
Xiaoling XuZhejiang Provincial Center for Cardiovascular Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China.
Wei YuZhejiang Provincial Center for Cardiovascular Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China.
Jing YanZhejiang Provincial Center for Cardiovascular Disease Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, 310013, China. phoebe84331@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4265-454X
Zhejiang Hospital · CNFudan University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide and a major public health concern. CVD prediction is one of the most effective measures for CVD control. In this study, 29930 subjects with high-risk of CVD were selected from 101056 people in 2014, regular follow-up was conducted using electronic health record system. Logistic regression analysis showed that nearly 30 indicators were related to CVD, including male, old age, family income, smoking, drinking, obesity, excessive waist circumference, abnormal cholesterol, abnormal low-density lipoprotein, abnormal fasting blood glucose and else. Several methods were used to build prediction model including multivariate regression model, classification and regression tree (CART), Naïve Bayes, Bagged trees, Ada Boost and Random Forest. We used the multivariate regression model as a benchmark for performance evaluation (Area under the curve, AUC = 0.7143). The results showed that the Random Forest was superior to other methods with an AUC of 0.787 and achieved a significant improvement over the benchmark. We provided a CVD prediction model for 3-year risk assessment of CVD. It was based on a large population with high risk of CVD in eastern China using Random Forest algorithm, which would provide reference for the work of CVD prediction and treatment in China.

Indexed as

Models, CardiovascularAlgorithmsCardiovascular DiseasesChinaCholesterolComorbidityElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansLife StyleLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedObesityRandom AllocationRisk AssessmentCholesterol

Identifiers

PMID32251324
PMCPMC7090086
OpenAlexW3012687466

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.