Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32249781›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

A behavioral approach to instability pathways in financial markets.

Alessandro Spelta, Andrea Flori, Nicolò Pecora, Sergey Buldyrev, Fabio Pammolli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. High-frequency trading and networked markets.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alessandro SpeltaDepartment of Economics and Management, University of Pavia, Via San Felice 7, 27100, Pavia, Italy. alessandro.spelta@unipv.it.
Andrea FloriDepartment of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Via Lambruschini, 4/B, 20156, Milan, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9861-3598
Nicolò PecoraDepartment of Economics and Social Sciences, Catholic University, Via Emilia Parmense 84, 29122, Piacenza, Italy.
Sergey BuldyrevDepartment of Physics, Yeshiva University, 500 West 185th Street, Belfer Hall, New York City, NY, USA.
Fabio PammolliCADS, Joint Center for Analysis, Decisions and Society, Human Technopole, Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We introduce an indicator that aims to detect the emergence of market instabilities by quantifying the intensity of self-organizing processes arising from stock returns' co-movements. In financial markets, phenomena like imitation, herding and positive feedbacks characterize the emergence of endogenous instabilities, which can modify the qualitative and quantitative behavior of the underlying system. The impossibility to formalize ex-ante the dynamic laws that rule the evolution of financial systems motivates the use of a parsimonious synthetic indicator to detect the disruption of an existing equilibrium configuration. Here we show that the emergence of an interconnected sub-graph of stock returns co-movements from a broader market index is a signal of an out-of-equilibrium transition of the underlying system. To test the validity of our approach, we propose a model-free application that builds on the identification of up and down market phases.

Identifiers

PMID32249781
PMCPMC7136275

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.