Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32249775›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Models with environmental drivers offer a plausible mechanism for the rapid spread of infectious disease outbreaks in marine organisms.

E A Aalto, K D Lafferty, S H Sokolow, R E Grewelle, T Ben-Horin, C A Boch, P T Raimondi, S J Bograd, E L Hazen, M G Jacox and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Strategies for managing marine disease.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

E A AaltoHopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, USA. aalto@cs.stanford.edu.
K D LaffertyU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, at Marine Science Institute, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.
S H SokolowHopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, USA.
R E GrewelleHopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, USA.
T Ben-HorinHaskins Shellfish Research Laboratory, Rutgers University, Port Norris, NJ, USA.
C A BochMonterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute, Moss Landing, CA, USA.
P T RaimondiUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
S J BogradNOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Monterey, CA, USA.
E L HazenNOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Monterey, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-7178
M G JacoxNOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Monterey, CA, USA.
F MicheliHopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6865-1438
G A De LeoHopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4186-3369
Pacific University · USNOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Fisheries Science Center · USMonterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute · USOcean Medical Center · USRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USUnited States Geological Survey · USUniversity of California, Santa Cruz · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first signs of sea star wasting disease (SSWD) epidemic occurred in just few months in 2013 along the entire North American Pacific coast. Disease dynamics did not manifest as the typical travelling wave of reaction-diffusion epidemiological model, suggesting that other environmental factors might have played some role. To help explore how external factors might trigger disease, we built a coupled oceanographic-epidemiological model and contrasted three hypotheses on the influence of temperature on disease transmission and pathogenicity. Models that linked mortality to sea surface temperature gave patterns more consistent with observed data on sea star wasting disease, which suggests that environmental stress could explain why some marine diseases seem to spread so fast and have region-wide impacts on host populations.

Indexed as

Aquatic OrganismsModels, TheoreticalAnimal DiseasesAnimalsCommunicable DiseasesDisease OutbreaksOceanographyTemperature

Identifiers

PMID32249775
PMCPMC7136265
OpenAlexW3015151443

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.