Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32246053›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Search trends and prediction of human brucellosis using Baidu index data from 2011 to 2018 in China.

Chenhao Zhao, Yuhan Yang, Songyu Wu, Wenchao Wu, Hetian Xue, Kai An, Qing Zhen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
8.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Meal Gathering in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Chenhao ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Yuhan YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Songyu Wu *Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Wenchao Wu *Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Hetian Xue *Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Kai AnDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
Qing ZhenKey Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Jilin University Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Changchun, 130021, China. zhenqing@jlu.edu.cn.
Jilin University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Reporting on brucellosis, a relatively rare infectious disease caused by Brucella, is often delayed or incomplete in traditional disease surveillance systems in China. Internet search engine data related to brucellosis can provide an economical and efficient complement to a conventional surveillance system because people tend to seek brucellosis-related health information from Baidu, the largest search engine in China. In this study, brucellosis incidence data reported by the CDC of China and Baidu index data were gathered to evaluate the relationship between them. We applied an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and an ARIMA model with Baidu search index data as the external variable (ARIMAX) to predict the incidence of brucellosis. The two models based on brucellosis incidence data were then compared, and the ARIMAX model performed better in all the measurements we applied. Our results illustrate that Baidu index data can enhance the traditional surveillance system to monitor and predict brucellosis epidemics in China.

Indexed as

Epidemiological MonitoringBrucellosisChinaData MiningEpidemicsFeasibility StudiesHumansIncidenceInternetModels, StatisticalPrevalenceRisk AssessmentSearch EngineSeasons

Identifiers

PMID32246053
PMCPMC7125199
OpenAlexW3014098050

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.