Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32243308›Full record

ArticleJournal of lower genital tract disease2020

Risk Estimates Supporting the 2019 ASCCP Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines.

Didem Egemen, Li C Cheung, Xiaojian Chen, Maria Demarco, Rebecca B Perkins, Walter Kinney, Nancy Poitras, Brian Befano, Alexander Locke, Richard S Guido and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of lower genital tract disease, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 112 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
112citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

112 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  10. Comparison of Human Papillomavirus Genotyping by Research vs. Clinical Assay for Two Self-Collection Devices.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
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  14. Head-to-head comparison of the MyGene human papillomavirus-sexually transmitted infection assay versus the Cobas 4800 human papillomavirus test for detecting high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
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  19. Characterizing Cervical Cancer Screening in the US: Preparing for the Era of Self-Collection.Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM · 2026
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52 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Didem EgemenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Li C CheungDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Xiaojian ChenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Maria DemarcoDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Rebecca B PerkinsDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Boston University School of Medicine/Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA.
Walter KinneyDivision of Gynecologic Oncology, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Oakland, CA (contributed before retirement).
Nancy PoitrasRegional Laboratory, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Berkeley, CA.
Brian BefanoInformation Management Services Inc, Information Management, Calverton, NY.
Alexander LockeRegional Laboratory, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Berkeley, CA.
Richard S GuidoDepartment of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, UPMC Magee-Women's Hospital, Pittsburgh, PA.
Amy L WiserDepartment of Family Medicine, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR.
Julia C GageDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Hormuzd A KatkiDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Nicolas WentzensenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Philip E CastleAlbert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY.
Mark SchiffmanDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD.
Thomas S LoreyDivision of Gynecologic Oncology, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Oakland, CA (contributed before retirement).

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The 2019 American Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines for the management of cervical cancer screening abnormalities recommend 1 of 6 clinical actions (treatment, optional treatment or colposcopy/biopsy, colposcopy/biopsy, 1-year surveillance, 3-year surveillance, 5-year return to regular screening) based on the risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3, adenocarcinoma in situ, or cancer (CIN 3+) for the many different combinations of current and recent past screening results. This article supports the main guidelines presentation by presenting and explaining the risk estimates that supported the guidelines.

methodsFrom 2003 to 2017 at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), 1.5 million individuals aged 25 to 65 years were screened with human papillomavirus (HPV) and cytology cotesting scheduled every 3 years. We estimated immediate and 5-year risks of CIN 3+ for combinations of current test results paired with history of screening test and colposcopy/biopsy results.

resultsRisk tables are presented for different clinical scenarios. Examples of important results are highlighted; for example, the risk posed by most current abnormalities is greatly reduced if the prior screening round was HPV-negative. The immediate and 5-year risks of CIN 3+ used to decide clinical management are shown.

conclusionsThe new risk-based guidelines present recommendations for the management of abnormal screening test and histology results; the key risk estimates supporting guidelines are presented in this article. Comprehensive risk estimates are freely available online at https://CervixCa.nlm.nih.gov/RiskTables.

Indexed as

Uterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultAgedCaliforniaConsensusEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPapillomaviridaePractice Guidelines as TopicRisk AssessmentRisk ManagementVaginal Smears

Identifiers

PMID32243308
PMCPMC7147417

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.