Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32243064›Full record

ArticleCNS neuroscience & therapeutics2020

Predicting conversion to Alzheimer's disease among individual high-risk patients using the Characterizing AD Risk Events index model.

Xiang Lu, Jiu Chen, Hao Shu, Zan Wang, Yong-Mei Shi, Yong-Gui Yuan, Chun-Ming Xie, Wen-Xiang Liao, Fan Su, Ya-Chen Shi and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CNS neuroscience & therapeutics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Xiang LuDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Jiu ChenDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Hao ShuDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Zan WangDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Yong-Mei ShiDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Yong-Gui YuanDepartment of Psychosomatics and Psychiatry, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital of Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6496-3998
Chun-Ming XieDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5978-9689
Wen-Xiang LiaoDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Fan SuDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Ya-Chen ShiDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Zhi-Jun ZhangDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5480-0888

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsBoth amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) and remitted late-onset depression (rLOD) confer a high risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study aims to determine whether the Characterizing AD Risk Events (CARE) index model can effectively predict conversion in individuals at high risk for AD development either in an independent aMCI population or in an rLOD population.

methodsThe CARE index model was constructed based on the event-based probabilistic framework fusion of AD biomarkers to differentiate individuals progressing to AD from cognitively stable individuals in the aMCI population (27 stable subjects, 6 progressive subjects) and rLOD population (29 stable subjects, 10 progressive subjects) during the follow-up period.

resultsAD diagnoses were predicted in the aMCI population with a balanced accuracy of 80.6%, a sensitivity of 83.3%, and a specificity of 77.8%. They were also predicted in the rLOD population with a balanced accuracy of 74.5%, a sensitivity of 80.0%, and a specificity of 69.0%. In addition, the CARE index scores were observed to be negatively correlated with the composite Z scores for episodic memory (R

conclusionsThe CARE index model can be used for the prediction of conversion to AD in both aMCI and rLOD populations effectively. Additionally, it can be used to monitor the disease severity of patients.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionModels, NeurologicalAgedAlzheimer DiseaseCognitive DysfunctionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRisk FactorsAlzheimer's diseasebiomarkerlate-onset depressionmild cognitive impairmentprogression

Identifiers

PMID32243064
PMCPMC7298996

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.