Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32239713›Full record

ArticleAcademic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine2020

Diagnostic Performance of Emergency Physician Gestalt for Predicting Acute Appendicitis in Patients Age 5 to 20 Years.

Laura E Simon, Mamata V Kene, E Margaret Warton, Adina S Rauchwerger, David R Vinson, Mary E Reed, Uli K Chettipally, Dustin G Mark, Dana R Sax, D Ian McLachlan and 6 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
  2. Observational
  3. Observational
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Diagnostic accuracy of doctors at the emergency department and radiologists in differentiating between complicated and uncomplicated acute appendicitis.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2024
    Article
  8. Prediction of patient disposition: comparison of computer and human approaches and a proposed synthesis.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2021
    Observational
  9. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Laura E SimonDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-4146-4202
Mamata V KeneThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente San Leandro Medical Center, San Leandro, CA.
E Margaret WartonDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.
Adina S RauchwergerDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.
David R VinsonDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-6559-1858
Mary E ReedDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.
Uli K ChettipallyThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Medical Center, San Francisco, CA.
Dustin G MarkDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.
Dana R SaxThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center, Oakland, CA.
D Ian McLachlanThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Medical Center, San Francisco, CA.
Dale M CottonThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente South Sacramento Medical Center, Sacramento, CA.
James S LinThe Permanente Medical Group, Kaiser Permanente Santa Clara Medical Center, Santa Clara, CA.
Gabriela Vazquez-BenitezHealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, MN.
Anupam B KharbandaChildren's Hospitals and Clinics of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Elyse O KharbandaHealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, MN.
Dustin W BallardDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-5801-8794
Kaiser Permanente · USHealthPartners · USKaiser Permanente San Francisco Medical Center · USChildren's Minnesota · USKaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente San Leandro Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente Santa Clara Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente South Sacramento Medical Center · US

Funding

EHR-based Decision Support for Pediatric Acute Abdominal Pain in Emergency CareR01HD079463 · NICHD · HEALTHPARTNERS INSTITUTE · PI KHARBANDA, ANUPAM B, KHARBANDA, ELYSE OLSHEN · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD079463
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPediatric appendicitis remains a challenging diagnosis in the emergency department (ED). Available risk prediction algorithms may contribute to excessive ED imaging studies. Incorporation of physician gestalt assessment could help refine predictive tools and improve diagnostic imaging decisions.

methodsThis study was a subanalysis of a parent study that prospectively enrolled patients ages 5 to 20.9 years with a chief complaint of abdominal pain presenting to 11 community EDs within an integrated delivery system between October 1, 2016, and September 30, 2018. Prior to diagnostic imaging, attending emergency physicians enrolled patients with ≤5 days of right-sided or diffuse abdominal pain using a Web-based application embedded in the electronic health record. Predicted risk (gestalt) of acute appendicitis was prospectively entered using a sliding scale from 1% to 100%. As a planned secondary analysis, we assessed the performance of gestalt via c-statistics of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves; tested associations between gestalt performance and patient, physician, and facility characteristics; and examined clinical characteristics affecting gestalt estimates.

resultsOf 3,426 patients, 334 (9.8%) had confirmed appendicitis. Physician gestalt had excellent ROC curve characteristics (c-statistic = 0.83, 95% confidence interval = 0.81 to 0.85), performing particularly well in the low-risk strata (appendicitis rate = 1.1% in gestalt 1%-10% range, negative predictive value of 98.9% for appendicitis diagnosis). Physicians with ≥5 years since medical school graduation demonstrated improved gestalt performance over those with less experience (p = 0.007). All clinical characteristics tested, except pain <24 hours, were significantly associated with physician gestalt value (p < 0.05).

conclusionPhysician gestalt for acute appendicitis diagnosis performed well, especially in low-risk patients and when employed by experienced physicians.

Indexed as

AppendicitisPhysiciansAbdominal PainAcute DiseaseAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolEmergency Service, HospitalHumansROC CurveSensitivity and SpecificityYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID32239713
PMCPMC8310728
OpenAlexW3014653879

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.