Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32234804›Full record

ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2020

An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.

Huaiyu Tian, Yonghong Liu, Yidan Li, Chieh-Hsi Wu, Bin Chen, Moritz U G Kraemer, Bingying Li, Jun Cai, Bo Xu, Qiqi Yang and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 861 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
861citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

861 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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801 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Huaiyu Tian *State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China. tianhuaiyu@gmail.com christopher.dye@zoo.ox.ac.uk oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk grenfell@princeton.edu ruifuyang@gmail.com.
Yonghong Liu *State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
Yidan Li *State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7758-1032
Chieh-Hsi Wu *School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9386-725X
Bin Chen *Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3496-2876
Moritz U G KraemerDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8838-7147
Bingying LiState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
Jun CaiMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9495-1226
Bo XuMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1920-5829
Qiqi YangState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5030-0963
Ben WangState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4686-646X
Peng YangBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China.
Yujun CuiState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, China.
Yimeng SongDepartment of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.ORCID 0000-0001-9558-1220
Pai ZhengDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Peking University, China.
Quanyi WangBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China.
Ottar N BjornstadCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1158-3753
Ruifu YangState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, China. tianhuaiyu@gmail.com christopher.dye@zoo.ox.ac.uk oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk grenfell@princeton.edu ruifuyang@gmail.com.
Bryan T GrenfellDivision of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA. tianhuaiyu@gmail.com christopher.dye@zoo.ox.ac.uk oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk grenfell@princeton.edu ruifuyang@gmail.com.
Oliver G PybusDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. tianhuaiyu@gmail.com christopher.dye@zoo.ox.ac.uk oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk grenfell@princeton.edu ruifuyang@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-8797-2667
Christopher DyeDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. tianhuaiyu@gmail.com christopher.dye@zoo.ox.ac.uk oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk grenfell@princeton.edu ruifuyang@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2957-1793

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Responding to an outbreak of a novel coronavirus [agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)] in December 2019, China banned travel to and from Wuhan city on 23 January 2020 and implemented a national emergency response. We investigated the spread and control of COVID-19 using a data set that included case reports, human movement, and public health interventions. The Wuhan shutdown was associated with the delayed arrival of COVID-19 in other cities by 2.91 days. Cities that implemented control measures preemptively reported fewer cases on average (13.0) in the first week of their outbreaks compared with cities that started control later (20.6). Suspending intracity public transport, closing entertainment venues, and banning public gatherings were associated with reductions in case incidence. The national emergency response appears to have delayed the growth and limited the size of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, averting hundreds of thousands of cases by 19 February (day 50).

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusTravelChinaCommunicable Disease ControlCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19EpidemicsHumansIncidenceModels, StatisticalPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPublic Health PracticeRegression AnalysisSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32234804
PMCPMC7164389

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.