Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32219187›Full record

ReviewNature sustainability2019

Emerging human infectious diseases and the links to global food production.

Jason R Rohr, Christopher B Barrett, David J Civitello, Meggan E Craft, Bryan Delius, Giulio A DeLeo, Peter J Hudson, Nicolas Jouanard, Karena H Nguyen, Richard S Ostfeld and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature sustainability, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 224 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
224citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
74.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

224 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 705 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Genomic surveillance ofMicrobial genomics · 2026
    Article
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164 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 11 institutions in 2 countries.

Jason R Rohr1Department of Biological Sciences, Eck Institute for Global Health, and Environmental Change Initiative, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN USA.
Christopher B Barrett3Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY USA.
David J Civitello4Department of Biology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA USA.
Meggan E Craft5Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5333-8513
Bryan Delius2Department of Integrative Biology, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL USA.
Giulio A DeLeo6Department of Biology and Woods Institute for the Environment, Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA USA.
Peter J Hudson7Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, College Station, PA USA.
Nicolas Jouanard8Laboratoire de Recherches Biomédicales, Espoir pour la Santé, Saint-Louis, Senegal.
Karena H Nguyen2Department of Integrative Biology, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1916-1002
Richard S Ostfeld9Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3707-9301
Justin V Remais10Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0223-4615
Gilles Riveau8Laboratoire de Recherches Biomédicales, Espoir pour la Santé, Saint-Louis, Senegal.
Susanne H Sokolow6Department of Biology and Woods Institute for the Environment, Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, Pacific Grove, CA USA.
David Tilman12Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6395-7676
Espoir pour la Sante · SNUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of South Florida · USCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies · USCornell University · USEmory University · USPacific University · USPennsylvania State University · USUniversity of California, Berkeley · USUniversity of California, Santa Barbara · USUniversity of Notre Dame · US

Funding

Spatio-temporal data integration methods for infectious disease surveillanceR01AI125842 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H, REMAIS, JUSTIN V · 2017 to 2021
$3.6M
Effects of agricultural expansion and intensification on infectionsR01TW010286 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI REMAIS, JUSTIN V, ROHR, JASON ROBERT · 2015 to 2019
$2.4M
EID disease in complex communities: multi-host multi-pathogen interactionsR01GM109499 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA · PI BRIGGS, CHERYL J · 2013 to 2016
$1.7M
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW010286NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI125842NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM109499
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infectious diseases are emerging globally at an unprecedented rate while global food demand is projected to increase sharply by 2100. Here, we synthesize the pathways by which projected agricultural expansion and intensification will influence human infectious diseases and how human infectious diseases might likewise affect food production and distribution. Feeding 11 billion people will require substantial increases in crop and animal production that will expand agricultural use of antibiotics, water, pesticides and fertilizer, and contact rates between humans and both wild and domestic animals, all with consequences for the emergence and spread of infectious agents. Indeed, our synthesis of the literature suggests that, since 1940, agricultural drivers were associated with >25% of all - and >50% of zoonotic - infectious diseases that emerged in humans, proportions that will likely increase as agriculture expands and intensifies. We identify agricultural and disease management and policy actions, and additional research, needed to address the public health challenge posed by feeding 11 billion people.

Indexed as

AgricultureDeveloping worldDiseasesEcological epidemiologyRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID32219187
PMCPMC7091874
OpenAlexW2952401863

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.