ArticleScientific reports2020
Trends and Projections in Breast Cancer Mortality among four Asian countries (1990-2017): Evidence from five Stochastic Mortality Models.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Association of Interleukin-10 Polymorphism (rs1800896, rs1800871, and rs1800872) With Breast Cancer Risk: An Updated Meta-Analysis Based on Different Ethnic Groups.Frontiers in genetics · 2022Pooled it
- Article
- Temporal trends and future projections of six major cancers among women of childbearing age in northeast Asia: analysis of data from the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
- Epidemiology of Breast Cancer Mortality in Kazakhstan, trends and Geographic Distribution.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2023Article
- Article
- Concerns and coping mechanisms of breast cancer survivor women from Asia: a scoping review.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2023Article
- Age-Period-Cohort Study of Breast Cancer Mortality in Brazil in State Capitals and in Non-Capital Municipalities from 1980 to 2019.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Burden of esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2019 in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index: A comparison with global data.Thoracic cancer · 2023Article
- Temporal trends of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer between 2010 and 2019, in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index, comparison with global data.Thoracic cancer · 2023Article
- Evaluation of Lee-Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan.Frontiers in oncology · 2023Article
- Changes in the disease burden of breast cancer along with attributable risk factors in China from 1990 to 2019 and its projections: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019.Cancer medicine · 2023Article
- Epidemiological and sociodemographic transitions of female breast cancer incidence, death, case fatality and DALYs in 21 world regions and globally, from 1990 to 2017: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.Journal of advanced research · 2022Article
- A Scoping Review on the Status of Female Breast Cancer in Asia with a Special Focus on Nepal.Breast cancer (Dove Medical Press) · 2022Article
- Lifestyle and Socioeconomic Transition and Health Consequences of Breast Cancer in the East Asia Region, From 1990 to 2019.Frontiers in nutrition · 2022Article
- Breast Cancer Mortality Trends and Predictions to 2030 and Its Attributable Risk Factors in East and South Asian Countries.Frontiers in nutrition · 2022Article
- Historical Trends in Incidence of Breast Cancer in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Los Angeles, 1973-2012: A Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.International journal of public health · 2021Article
- Prevalence of RECQL germline variants in Pakistani early-onset and familial breast cancer patients.Hereditary cancer in clinical practice · 2020Article
- A multi-country comparison of stochastic models of breast cancer mortality with P-splines smoothing approach.BMC medical research methodology · 2020Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
The current study aimed to explore some important insights into the breast cancer mortality (BCM) trends and projections among four Asian countries by using five advanced stochastic mortality models. BCM data over 28 years from 1990-2017 with ages 20-84 were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2017 for four Asian countries, namely, China, India, Pakistan, and Thailand. Five stochastic mortality models with the family of generalized age-period-cohort were implemented to find the present and future BCM trends in these four Asian countries. Based on Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD) model and Lee-Carter model (LCM), overall, results revealed that BCM increased with the passage of time. Aging factor was the most influential factor of elevated BCM in each Asian country under consideration. Projection of BCM showed that mortality rates might continue to grow with time, especially in older ages in each Asian country under study. The highest forecasted BCM rates were observed in Pakistan as compared to other countries. The obvious increase in BCM suggested that earlier tactics should be implemented to reduce the subsequent morbidity and mortality due to breast cancer. The last but not least, some additional tactics to mitigate the BCM in older ages must be adopted.
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