Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32197591›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2020

Influenza in the school-aged population in Mexico: burden of disease and cost-effectiveness of vaccination in children.

Jorge Abelardo Falcón-Lezama, Rodrigo Saucedo-Martínez, Miguel Betancourt-Cravioto, Myrna María Alfaro-Cortes, Roberto Isaac Bahena-González, Roberto Tapia-Conyer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jorge Abelardo Falcón-LezamaSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico.
Rodrigo Saucedo-MartínezSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico.
Miguel Betancourt-CraviotoSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico.
Myrna María Alfaro-CortesSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico.
Roberto Isaac Bahena-GonzálezSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico.
Roberto Tapia-ConyerSociedad Mexicana de Salud Pública, Herschel 109, Anzures, Miguel Hidalgo, 11590, Mexico City, Mexico. tapiaconyer@yahoo.com.mx.
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe current national influenza vaccination schedule in Mexico does not recommend vaccination in the school-aged population (5-11 years). Currently, there are limited data from middle-income countries analysing the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination in this population. We explored the clinical effects and economic benefits of expanding the current national influenza vaccination schedule in Mexico to include the school-aged population.

methodsA static 1-year model incorporating herd effect was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of expanding the current national influenza vaccination schedule of Mexico to include the school-aged population. We performed a cross-sectional epidemiological study using influenza records (2009-2018), death records (2010-2015), and discharge and hospitalisation records (2010-2016), from the databases of Mexico's Influenza Surveillance System (SISVEFLU), the National Mortality Epidemiological and Statistical System (SEED), and the Automated Hospital Discharge System (SAEH), respectively. Cost estimates for influenza cases were based on 7 scenarios using data analysed from SISVEFLU; assumptions for clinical management of cases were defined according to Mexico's national clinical guidelines. The primary health outcome for this study was the number of influenza cases avoided. A sensitivity analysis was performed using conservative and optimistic parameters (vaccination coverage: 30% / 70%, Vaccine effectiveness: 19% / 68%).

resultsIt was estimated that expanding the influenza immunisation programme to cover school-aged population in Mexico over the 2018-2019 influenza season would result in 671,461 cases of influenza avoided (50% coverage and 50% effectiveness assumed). Associated with this were 262,800 fewer outpatient consultations; 154,100 fewer emergency room consultations; 97,600 fewer hospitalisations, and 15 fewer deaths. Analysis of cases avoided by age-group showed that 55.4% of them were in the school-aged population, and the decrease in outpatient consultations was largest in this population. There was an overall decrease in the economic burden for the Mexican health care system of 111.9 million US dollars; the immunization programme was determined to be cost-saving in the base, conservative and optimistic scenarios.

conclusionsVaccinating school-aged population in Mexico would be cost-effective; expansion of the current national vaccination schedule to this age group is supported.

Indexed as

ChildChild, PreschoolCost-Benefit AnalysisCross-Sectional StudiesDelivery of Health CareFemaleHospitalizationHumansImmunization ProgramsImmunization ScheduleIncidenceInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMaleMexicoPatient DischargeInfluenza VaccinesBurden of diseaseCost effectivenessInfluenzaMexicoMiddle-income countriesSchool-aged populationVaccination

Identifiers

PMID32197591
PMCPMC7085158
OpenAlexW3010680414

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.