ArticleScientific reports2020
Modeling current and future global distribution of Chrysomya bezziana under changing climate.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.
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37 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Predicting the impact of climate change on the suitable habitat of Populus qiongdaoensis in Hainan Island using MaxEnt modeling.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Unusually Extensive Furuncular Myiasis in a Returning Traveller from Rural Ethiopia Complicated by Streptococcus Pyogenes Secondary Infection Following Albendazole Therapy.Reports (MDPI) · 2026Article
- Traumatic myiasis in wild animals admitted to a rehabilitation center in southeastern Turkey.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
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- Ecological Niche Modeling Reveals Historical Population Dynamics and Future Climate Response of the Carnivorous PlantEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.Zoonoses and public health · 2025Review
- Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Traumatic myiasis in animals from Iraq: a five years (2019-2023) survey, and a comprehensive epidemiological overview.Tropical animal health and production · 2025Article
- Distribution changes of Ormosia microphylla under different climatic scenarios.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Impact of the Luding Earthquake on the Area of Potentially Suitable Habitat forAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Impact of climate change on the potential global prevalence ofFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
- Implications for agricultural sustainability: predicting the global distribution ofFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Molecular identification of immature stages of medically important fly species, Puducherry, South India: a preliminary study.Frontiers in insect science · 2025Article
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- Prediction of Potential Suitable Distribution Areas for an Endangered Salamander in China.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In the last few years, significant changes in climate have had a disparate effect on biodiversity. The influences of these changes are random and unpredictable. The resurgence of insect pests, especially of medical and veterinary importance, often corresponds with climate changes. The Old World screwworm, Chrysomya bezziana, is one of the most important myiasis-causing flies that parasitize warm-blooded animals in the Eastern Hemisphere. We used a spatial distribution modeling approach to estimate the consequences of climatic changes on the potential geographic distribution of this insect throughout the world currently and in the future. A Maxent model used occurrence data from 104 localities and 19 climatic factors to predict the suitable habitat regions throughout the world. Two representative concentration pathways 2.6 and 8.5, were used to forecast the future distribution of C. bezziana in 2050 and 2070. The Maxent model for C. bezziana provided a satisfactory result, with a high value of the Area Under Curve equal to 0.855 (±0.001). Furthermore, the True Skilled Statistics value is equal to 0.67. These values indicate the significant influence on the model of the ecology of this fly species. Jackknife test indicated that temperature variables play a significant role in C. bezziana dynamics. The resultant models indicated the areas at risk of invasion by potential serious medical/veterinary issues, especially in countries with a large livestock production.
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