Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32188716›Full record

ArticleESMO open2020

Clinical scoring system for the prediction of survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer.

Jinchul Kim, Jung Yong Hong, Seung Tae Kim, Se Hoon Park, Se Yong Jekal, Jong Soo Choi, Dong Kyung Chang, Won Ki Kang, Sung Wook Seo, Jeeyun Lee

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESMO open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jinchul KimDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6013-7477
Jung Yong HongDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Seung Tae KimDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Se Hoon ParkDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Se Yong JekalHealth Information and Strategy Center, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Jong Soo ChoiHealth Information and Strategy Center, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Dong Kyung ChangDepartment of Digital Health, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology (SAIHST), Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Won Ki KangDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Sung Wook SeoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Jeeyun LeeDivision of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea jyunlee@skku.edu.
Samsung Medical Center · KRSamsung (South Korea) · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIn this study, we established a risk scoring system using easily obtained clinical characteristics at the time of initiating palliative chemotherapy to predict accurate overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer after first-line treatment with fluoropyrimidine-platinum combination chemotherapy.

methodsA total of 1733 patients treated at the Samsung Medical Center, Korea were included in the study, and clinicopathological and laboratory data were retrospectively analysed. The dataset was split into a training set (n=1156, 67%) and a validation set (n=577, 33%). Top-ranked variables were identified using the random forest survival algorithm and integrated into a Cox regression model, thereby constructing the scoring system for predicting the overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer.

resultsThe following five variables were finally included in the scoring system: serum neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase level, albumin level, performance status and histologic differentiation. The scoring system determined four distinct risk groups in the validation dataset with median overall survival of 17.1 months (95% CI=14.9 to 20.5 months), 12.9 months (95% CI=11.4 to 14.6 months), 8.1 months (95% CI=5.3 to 12.3 months) and 3.9 months (95% CI=1.5 to 8.2 months), respectively. The area under the curve to estimate the discrimination performance of the scoring system was 66.1 considering 1 year overall survival.

conclusionsWe developed a simple and clinically useful predictive scoring model in a homogeneous population with advanced gastric cancer treated with fluoropyrimidine-containing and platinum-containing chemotherapy. However, additional independent validation will be required before the scoring model can be used commonly.

Indexed as

FemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisStomach Neoplasmsadvanced gastric cancerprognostic factorscoring model

Identifiers

PMID32188716
PMCPMC7078777
OpenAlexW3011559189

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.