Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32188468›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2020

Re-introduction of vivax malaria in a temperate area (Moscow region, Russia): a geographic investigation.

Varvara A Mironova, Natalia V Shartova, Andrei E Beljaev, Mikhail I Varentsov, Fedor I Korennoy, Mikhail Y Grishchenko

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Ecologies of Risk: Malaria and Settler Landscape Transformation in 19th-Century Ontario.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Global Climate Change and Human Dirofilariasis in Russia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Varvara A MironovaFaculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119991, Russia.
Natalia V ShartovaFaculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119991, Russia. shartova@yandex.ru.
Andrei E BeljaevWHO Global Malaria Programme, Geneva, Switzerland.
Mikhail I VarentsovFaculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119991, Russia.
Fedor I KorennoyFGBI Federal Center for Animal Health (FGBI ARRIAH), Vladimir, 600901, Russia.
Mikhail Y GrishchenkoFaculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119991, Russia.

Funding

Russian Science Foundation 17-77-20070World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBetween 1999 and 2008 Russia experienced a flare-up of transmission of vivax malaria following its massive importation with more than 500 autochthonous cases in European Russia, the Moscow region being the most affected. The outbreak waned soon after a decrease in importation in mid-2000s and strengthening the control measures. Compared with other post-eradication epidemics in Europe this one was unprecedented by its extension and duration.

methodsThe aim of this study is to identify geographical determinants of transmission. The degree of favourability of climate for vivax malaria was assessed by measuring the sum of effective temperatures and duration of season of effective infectivity using data from 22 weather stations. For geospatial analysis, the locations of each of 405 autochthonous cases detected in Moscow region have been ascertained. A MaxEnt method was used for modelling the territorial differentiation of Moscow region according to the suitability of infection re-emergence based on the statistically valid relationships between the distribution of autochthonous cases and environmental and climatic factors.

resultsIn 1999-2004, in the beginning of the outbreak, meteorological conditions were extremely favourable for malaria in 1999, 2001 and 2002, especially within the borders of the city of Moscow and its immediate surroundings. The greatest number of cases occurred at the northwestern periphery of the city and in the adjoining rural areas. A significant role was played by rural construction activities attracting migrant labour, vegetation density and landscape division. A cut-off altitude of 200 m was observed, though the factor of altitude did not play a significant role at lower altitudes. Most likely, the urban heat island additionally amplified malaria re-introduction.

conclusionThe malariogenic potential in relation to vivax malaria was high in Moscow region, albeit heterogeneous. It is in Moscow that the most favourable conditions exist for vivax malaria re-introduction in the case of a renewed importation. This recent event of large-scale re-introduction of vivax malaria in a temperate area can serve as a case study for further research.

Indexed as

ClimateAnimalsAnophelesCitiesDisease OutbreaksGeographyHumansMalaria, VivaxMoscowPlasmodium vivaxRural PopulationSeasonsAutochthonous casesClimate favourabilityEnvironmental determinantsGeospatial analysisModellingRe-introductionVivax malaria

Identifiers

PMID32188468
PMCPMC7081549

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.