Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32188419›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2020

Artificial neural network-based models used for predicting 28- and 90-day mortality of patients with hepatitis B-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Yixin Hou, Qianqian Zhang, Fangyuan Gao, Dewen Mao, Jun Li, Zuojiong Gong, Xinla Luo, Guoliang Chen, Yong Li, Zhiyun Yang and 2 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. From prognostication to therapeutics: Four key questions to accelerate the development of therapeutics for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2024
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  17. Risk Association of Liver Cancer and Hepatitis B with Tree Ensemble and Lifestyle Features.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Yixin HouCenter of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100015, People's Republic of China.
Qianqian ZhangDepartment of Hepatology, The First Hospital Affiliated to Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, Hunan, 410007, People's Republic of China.
Fangyuan GaoCenter of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100015, People's Republic of China.
Dewen MaoDepartment of Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.
Jun LiCenter of Integrative Medicine, Beijing 302 Hospital, Beijing, 100039, People's Republic of China.
Zuojiong GongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430060, People's Republic of China.
Xinla LuoDepartment of Hepatology, Hubei Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Wuhuan, Hubei, 430061, People's Republic of China.
Guoliang ChenDepartment of Hepatology, Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Xiamen, Fujian, 361009, People's Republic of China.
Yong LiDepartment of Hepatology, The Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, Shandong, 250014, People's Republic of China.
Zhiyun YangCenter of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100015, People's Republic of China. yangzhiyun66@163.com.
Kewei SunDepartment of Hepatology, The First Hospital Affiliated to Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, Hunan, 410007, People's Republic of China. keweisun550@163.com.
Xianbo WangCenter of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100015, People's Republic of China. wangxb@ccmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Imaging Technology (CN) DTQL201602Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission Programme Z181100001718052The National Natural Science Foundation of China 81273743The National Natural Science Foundation of China 81473641
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to develop prognostic models for predicting 28- and 90-day mortality rates of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) through artificial neural network (ANN) systems.

methodsSix hundred and eight-four cases of consecutive HBV-ACLF patients were retrospectively reviewed. Four hundred and twenty-three cases were used for training and constructing ANN models, and the remaining 261 cases were for validating the established models. Predictors associated with mortality were determined by univariate analysis and were then included in ANN models for predicting prognosis of mortality. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the ANN models in comparison with various current prognostic models.

resultsVariables with statistically significant difference or important clinical characteristics were input in the ANN training process, and eight independent risk factors, including age, hepatic encephalopathy, serum sodium, prothrombin activity, γ-glutamyltransferase, hepatitis B e antigen, alkaline phosphatase and total bilirubin, were eventually used to establish ANN models. For 28-day mortality in the training cohort, the model's predictive accuracy (AUR 0.948, 95% CI 0.925-0.970) was significantly higher than that of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-sodium (MELD-Na), Chronic Liver Failure-ACLF (CLIF-ACLF), and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) (all p < 0.001). In the validation cohorts the predictive accuracy of ANN model (AUR 0.748, 95% CI: 0.673-0.822) was significantly higher than that of MELD (p = 0.0099) and insignificantly higher than that of MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (p > 0.05). For 90-day mortality in the training cohort, the model's predictive accuracy (AUR 0.913, 95% CI 0.887-0.938) was significantly higher than that of MELD, MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (all p < 0.001). In the validation cohorts, the prediction accuracy of the ANN model (AUR 0.754, 95% CI: 0.697-0.812 was significantly higher than that of MELD (p = 0.019) and insignificantly higher than MELD-Na, CTP and CLIF-ACLF (p > 0.05).

conclusionsThe established ANN models can more accurately predict short-term mortality risk in patients with HBV- ACLF. The main content has been postered as an abstract at the AASLD Hepatology Conference (https://doi.org/10.1002/hep.30257).

Indexed as

Neural Networks, ComputerAcute-On-Chronic Liver FailureAdultAge FactorsAlkaline PhosphataseBilirubinFemalegamma-GlutamyltransferaseHepatic EncephalopathyHepatitis BHepatitis B e AntigensHumansMalePrognosisProthrombin TimeRetrospective StudiesAlkaline PhosphataseBilirubingamma-GlutamyltransferaseHepatitis B e AntigensSodiumAcute-on-chronic liver failureArtificial neural networkHepatitis B virusMortalityPrognosisShort-term

Identifiers

PMID32188419
PMCPMC7081680

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.