Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32187195›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Personalized risk stratification through attribute matching for clinical decision making in clinical conditions with aspecific symptoms: The example of syncope.

Monica Solbiati, James V Quinn, Franca Dipaola, Piergiorgio Duca, Raffaello Furlan, Nicola Montano, Matthew J Reed, Robert S Sheldon, Benjamin C Sun, Andrea Ungar and 3 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Monica SolbiatiUOC Pronto Soccorso e Medicina d'Urgenza, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
James V QuinnDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States of America.
Franca DipaolaInternal Medicine, Humanitas Research Hospital, Humanitas University, Rozzano, Italy.
Piergiorgio DucaDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "L. Sacco", Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Raffaello FurlanInternal Medicine, Humanitas Research Hospital, Humanitas University, Rozzano, Italy.
Nicola MontanoDipartimento di Scienze Cliniche e di Comunità, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Matthew J ReedEmergency Medicine Research Group Edinburgh (EMERGE), Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1308-4824
Robert S SheldonLibin Cardiovascular Institute of Alberta, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Benjamin C SunDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Center for Policy Research-Emergency Medicine, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, United States of America.
Andrea UngarS.O.D. Geriatria e Terapia Intensiva Geriatrica, AOU Careggi e Università degli Studi di Firenze, Florence, Italy.
Giovanni CasazzaDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "L. Sacco", Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3718-1784
Giorgio CostantinoUOC Pronto Soccorso e Medicina d'Urgenza, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
SYNERGI (SYNcope Expert Research Group International)
University of Milan · ITHumanitas University · ITEdinburgh Royal Infirmary · GBOregon Health & Science University · USStanford University · USUniversity of Calgary · CAUniversity of Florence · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification is challenging in conditions, such as chest pain, shortness of breath and syncope, which can be the manifestation of many possible underlying diseases. In these cases, decision tools are unlikely to accurately identify all the different adverse events related to the possible etiologies. Attribute matching is a prediction method that matches an individual patient to a group of previously observed patients with identical characteristics and known outcome. We used syncope as a paradigm of clinical conditions presenting with aspecific symptoms to test the attribute matching method for the prediction of the personalized risk of adverse events.

methodsWe selected the 8 predictor variables common to the individual-patient dataset of 5 prospective emergency department studies enrolling 3388 syncope patients. We calculated all possible combinations and the number of patients in each combination. We compared the predictive accuracy of attribute matching and logistic regression. We then classified ten random patients according to clinical judgment and attribute matching.

resultsAttribute matching provided 253 of the 384 possible combinations in the dataset. Twelve (4.7%), 35 (13.8%), 50 (19.8%) and 160 (63.2%) combinations had a match size ≥50, ≥30, ≥20 and <10 patients, respectively. The AUC for the attribute matching and the multivariate model were 0.59 and 0.74, respectively.

conclusionsAttribute matching is a promising tool for personalized and flexible risk prediction. Large databases will need to be used in future studies to test and apply the method in different conditions.

Indexed as

Clinical Decision-MakingPrecision MedicineAdultAgedEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentSyncope

Identifiers

PMID32187195
PMCPMC7080223
OpenAlexW3011580214

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.