Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32187188›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2020

Changes in historical typhoid transmission across 16 U.S. cities, 1889-1931: Quantifying the impact of investments in water and sewer infrastructures.

Maile T Phillips, Katharine A Owers, Bryan T Grenfell, Virginia E Pitzer

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. IAPSM's Position Paper on Typhoid Vaccines for Adult Immunization in India.Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive & Social Medicine · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Typhoid fever.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2023
    Review
  7. Typhoid Fever: A Reduction and a Resurgence.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Early Insights From Clinical Trials of Typhoid Conjugate Vaccine.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020
    Article
  15. Water and Filth: Reevaluating the First Era of Sanitary Typhoid Intervention (1840-1940).Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Maile T PhillipsDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6952-0440
Katharine A OwersDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-5323-5079
Bryan T GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America.
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1015-2289
Yale University · USPrinceton University · US

Funding

Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI SALGANIK, MATTHEW J. · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 106158/Z/14/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Investments in water and sanitation systems are believed to have led to the decline in typhoid fever in developed countries, such that most cases now occur in regions lacking adequate clean water and sanitation. Exploring seasonal and long-term patterns in historical typhoid mortality in the United States can offer deeper understanding of disease drivers. We fit modified Time-series Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered models to city-level weekly mortality counts to estimate seasonal and long-term typhoid transmission. We examined seasonal transmission separately by city and aggregated by water source. Typhoid transmission peaked in late summer/early fall. Seasonality varied by water source, with the greatest variation occurring in cities with reservoirs. We then fit hierarchical regression models to measure associations between long-term transmission and annual financial investments in water and sewer systems. Overall historical $1 per capita ($16.13 in 2017) investments in the water supply were associated with approximately 5% (95% confidence interval: 3-6%) decreases in typhoid transmission, while $1 increases in the overall sewer system investments were associated with estimated 6% (95% confidence interval: 4-9%) decreases. Our findings aid in the understanding of typhoid transmission dynamics and potential impacts of water and sanitation improvements, and can inform cost-effectiveness analyses of interventions to reduce the typhoid burden.

Indexed as

CitiesDisease Transmission, InfectiousHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHumansSanitationSeasonsSurvival AnalysisTyphoid FeverUnited States

Identifiers

PMID32187188
PMCPMC7105137
OpenAlexW3010907259

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.