Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32183817›Full record

ArticleBMC oral health2020

Impact of sugar-sweetened beverage tax on dental caries: a simulation analysis.

Nipaporn Urwannachotima, Piya Hanvoravongchai, John Pastor Ansah, Piyada Prasertsom, Victoria Rui Ying Koh

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC oral health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 90 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Nipaporn UrwannachotimaDepartment of Community Dentistry, Faculty of Dentistry, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand. mefeng@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-3653-6005
Piya HanvoravongchaiDepartment of Preventive and Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
John Pastor AnsahHealth Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
Piyada PrasertsomBureau of Dental Health, Department of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.
Victoria Rui Ying KohSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, Singapore.
Chulalongkorn University · THDuke-NUS Medical School · SGMinistry of Public Health · THNational University of Singapore · SG

Funding

The Royal Golden Jubilee (RGJ) Ph.D. Programme, The Thailand Research Fund (TRF) PHD/0128/2558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe tiered sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) tax was implemented in Thailand to encourage industries to reduce sugar content in beverages, and consequently reduce sugar consumption in the population. The aim of the study is to explore the expected impact of the new SSB tax policy in Thailand, a middle-income country in Asia, and other alternative policies on oral health outcomes as measured by the prevalence and severity of dental caries among the Thai population.

methodsA qualitative system dynamics model that captures the complex interrelationships among SSB tax, sugar consumption and dental caries, was elicited through participatory stakeholder engagement. Based on the qualitative model, a quantitative system dynamics model was developed to simulate the SSB tax policy and other alternative scenarios in order to evaluate their impact on dental caries among Thai adults from 2010 to 2040.

resultsUnder the base-case scenario, the dental caries prevalence among the Thai population 15 years and older, is projected to increase from 61.3% in 2010 to 74.9% by 2040. Implementation of SSB tax policy is expected to decrease the prevalence of dental caries by only 1% by 2040, whereas the aggressive policy is projected to decrease prevalence of dental caries by 21% by 2040.

conclusionsIn countries where a majority of the sugar consumed is from non-tax sugary food and beverages, especially Asian countries where street food culture is ubiquitous and contributes disproportionately to sugar intake, SSB tax alone is unlikely to have meaningful impact on oral health unless it is accompanied with a comprehensive public health policy that aims to reduce total sugar intake from non-SSB sources.

Indexed as

TaxesAdultDental CariesFemaleHumansMaleSugar-Sweetened BeveragesThailandComputer simulationDental cariesDental public healthSugar consumptionSugar-sweetened beverage taxSystem dynamics modelSystem science

Identifiers

PMID32183817
PMCPMC7079374
OpenAlexW3011286771

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.