Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32178250›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

Stroke Prediction with Machine Learning Methods among Older Chinese.

Yafei Wu, Ya Fang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
7.7field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 124 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yafei WuThe State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccine and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361102, China.
Ya FangThe State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccine and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361102, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9895-3234
Xiamen University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Timely stroke diagnosis and intervention are necessary considering its high prevalence. Previous studies have mainly focused on stroke prediction with balanced data. Thus, this study aimed to develop machine learning models for predicting stroke with imbalanced data in an elderly population in China. Data were obtained from a prospective cohort that included 1131 participants (56 stroke patients and 1075 non-stroke participants) in 2012 and 2014, respectively. Data balancing techniques including random over-sampling (ROS), random under-sampling (RUS), and synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) were used to process the imbalanced data in this study. Machine learning methods such as regularized logistic regression (RLR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) were used to predict stroke with demographic, lifestyle, and clinical variables. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used for performance comparison. The top five variables for stroke prediction were selected for each machine learning method based on the SMOTE-balanced data set. The total prevalence of stroke was high in 2014 (4.95%), with men experiencing much higher prevalence than women (6.76% vs. 3.25%). The three machine learning methods performed poorly in the imbalanced data set with extremely low sensitivity (approximately 0.00) and AUC (approximately 0.50). After using data balancing techniques, the sensitivity and AUC considerably improved with moderate accuracy and specificity, and the maximum values for sensitivity and AUC reached 0.78 (95% CI, 0.73-0.83) for RF and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.71-0.73) for RLR. Using AUCs for RLR, SVM, and RF in the imbalanced data set as references, a significant improvement was observed in the AUCs of all three machine learning methods (

Indexed as

Machine LearningStrokeAgedChinaFemaleForecastingHumansMalePrognosisProspective StudiesSupport Vector Machineimbalanced datamachine learningpredictionstroke

Identifiers

PMID32178250
PMCPMC7142983
OpenAlexW3011139747

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.