Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32173997›Full record

ArticleInternational wound journal2020

Models for predicting skin tears: A comparison.

Robyn Rayner, Keryln Carville, Gavin Leslie, Satvinder S Dhaliwal

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International wound journal, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Models for predicting skin tears: A comparison.International wound journal · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Robyn RaynerSchool of Nursing, Midwifery and Paramedicine, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Keryln CarvilleSchool of Nursing, Midwifery and Paramedicine, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Gavin LeslieSchool of Nursing, Midwifery and Paramedicine, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Satvinder S DhaliwalSchool of Public Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Curtin University · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A recently published model that predicted the risk of skin tears in older adults was compared with seven additional published models. Four models were excluded because of limitations in research design. Four models were compared for their relative predictive performance and accuracy using sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC), which involved using receiver-operating characteristic analysis. The predictive ability of the skin tear models differed with the AUC ranging between 0.673 and 0.854. Based on the predictive ability, the selection of models could lead to different clinical decisions and health outcomes. The model, which had been adjusted for potential confounders consisted of five variables (male gender, history of skin tears, history of falls, clinical skin manifestations of elastosis, and purpura), was found to be the most parsimonious for predicting skin tears in older adults (AUC 0.854; 81.7% sensitivity; 81.4% specificity). Effective models serve as important clinical tools for identifying older individuals at risk of skin tears and can better direct more timely and targeted prevention strategies that improve health outcomes and reduce health care expenditure.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLacerationsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalPredictive Value of TestsRisk FactorsROC CurveSkinaged-care residentselderlypredictive modelsskin tears

Identifiers

PMID32173997
PMCPMC7949462
OpenAlexW3012136153

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.