Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32170939›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2022

Assessing the accuracy of predictive models with interval-censored data.

Ying Wu, Richard J Cook

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Ying WuSchool of Statistics and Data Science, Nankai University, Tianjin, 300071, China.
Richard J CookDepartment of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada.
Nankai University · CNUniversity of Waterloo · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We develop methods for assessing the predictive accuracy of a given event time model when the validation sample is comprised of case $K$ interval-censored data. An imputation-based, an inverse probability weighted (IPW), and an augmented inverse probability weighted (AIPW) estimator are developed and evaluated for the mean prediction error and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve when the goal is to predict event status at a landmark time. The weights used for the IPW and AIPW estimators are obtained by fitting a multistate model which jointly considers the event process, the recurrent assessment process, and loss to follow-up. We empirically investigate the performance of the proposed methods and illustrate their application in the context of a motivating rheumatology study in which human leukocyte antigen markers are used to predict disease progression status in patients with psoriatic arthritis.

Indexed as

ROC CurveBiomarkersHumansProbabilityBiomarkersAugmented inverse probability weighted estimatorIntermittent assessmentInterval censoringInverse probability weighted estimatorPrediction errorROC curve

Identifiers

PMID32170939
PMCPMC8974097
OpenAlexW3011802598

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.