ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2020
Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January-February 2020.
Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 95 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
95 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Epidemiology of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical characteristics, risk factors, and outcomes.Journal of medical virology · 2021Pooled it
- Cardiovascular risk factors and mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis of 45 studies and 18,300 patients.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2021Pooled it
- Modelling the potential use of pre-exposure prophylaxis to reduce nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 transmission.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Article
- Psychological Toll of the COVID-19 Pandemic: An In-Depth Exploration of Anxiety, Depression, and Insomnia and the Influence of Quarantine Measures on Daily Life.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- A new method for accurate calculation of case fatality rates during a pandemic: Mathematical deduction based on population-level big data.Infectious medicine · 2023Article
- Risk factors for deaths associated with COVID-19 according to the cause of death classification in Republic of Korea.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2023Article
- When might host heterogeneity drive the evolution of asymptomatic, pandemic coronaviruses?Nonlinear dynamics · 2023Article
- A novel textual track-data-based approach for estimating individual infection risk of COVID-19.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2023Article
- Time-dependent risk of COVID-19 death with overwhelmed health-care capacity in Japan, 2020-2022.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- A novel method to monitor COVID-19 fatality rate in real-time, a key metric to guide public health policy.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Estimating the risk of SARS-CoV-2 deaths using a Markov switching-volatility model combined with heavy-tailed distributions for South Africa.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Novel methods for estimating the instantaneous and overall COVID-19 case fatality risk among care home residents in England.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- A vaccination model for COVID-19 in Gauteng, South Africa.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- COVID-induced 3 weeks' treatment delay may exacerbate breast cancer patient's psychological symptoms.Frontiers in psychology · 2022Article
- Self-care, Household Cleaning and Disinfection During COVID-19 Pandemic: A Study from Metropolitan Cities of India.Annals of data science · 2022Article
- Surveillance of COVID-19 in Cameroon: Implications for policymakers and the healthcare system.Journal of public health in Africa · 2021Article
- Factors Associated with Psychological Distress in French Medical Students during the COVID-19 Health Crisis: A Cross-Sectional Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Observational
- Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine Special Statement: COVID-19 research in pregnancy: progress and potential.American journal of obstetrics and gynecology · 2021Review
- An active inference account of protective behaviours during the COVID-19 pandemic.Cognitive, affective & behavioral neuroscience · 2021Review
35 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Since December 2019, when the first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was identified in the city of Wuhan in the Hubei Province of China, the epidemic has generated tens of thousands of cases throughout China. As of February 28, 2020, the cumulative number of reported deaths in China was 2,858. We estimated the time-delay adjusted risk for death from COVID-19 in Wuhan, as well as for China excluding Wuhan, to assess the severity of the epidemic in the country. Our estimates of the risk for death in Wuhan reached values as high as 12% in the epicenter of the epidemic and ≈1% in other, more mildly affected areas. The elevated death risk estimates are probably associated with a breakdown of the healthcare system, indicating that enhanced public health interventions, including social distancing and movement restrictions, should be implemented to bring the COVID-19 epidemic under control.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.