Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32167990›Full record

SynthesisAIDS (London, England)2020

Incident HIV among pregnant and breast-feeding women in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Lauren A Graybill, Margaret Kasaro, Kellie Freeborn, Jennifer S Walker, Charles Poole, Kimberly A Powers, Katie R Mollan, Nora E Rosenberg, Sten H Vermund, Wilbroad Mutale and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in AIDS (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
91citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

91 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 115 citations in OpenAlex.

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31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Lauren A GraybillDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Margaret KasaroUNC Global Projects - Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Kellie FreebornDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology.
Jennifer S WalkerHealth Sciences Library, University of North Carolina.
Charles PooleDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Kimberly A PowersDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Katie R MollanDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Nora E RosenbergDepartment of Health Behavior, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Sten H VermundYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Wilbroad MutaleDepartment of Health Policy, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Benjamin H ChiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USNational HIV/AIDS/STI/TB Council · ZMYale University · US

Funding

Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
UJMT – ORWH – Gazzetta, Issa-BoubeD43TW009340 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI William Checkley, Benjamin H. Chi · 2017 to 2026
$14.8M
A dyad approach to combination HIV prevention in pregnancy for Zambia and MalawiR01AI131060 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI CHI, BENJAMIN H., MUTALE, WILBROAD · 2017 to 2020
$2.7M
Mentoring new investigators in PMTCT implementation researchK24AI120796 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Benjamin H. Chi · 2016 to 2026
$1.3M
Developing and Assessing a Male Engagement Intervention for Option B+ in MalawiR00MH104154 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROSENBERG, NORA · 2017 to 2019
$746k
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009340NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI120796NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI131060NIMH NIH HHS R00 MH104154
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesA previous meta-analysis reported high HIV incidence among pregnant and breast-feeding women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), but limited evidence of elevated risk of HIV acquisition during pregnancy or breast-feeding when compared with nonpregnant periods. The rapidly evolving HIV prevention and treatment landscape since publication of this review may have important implications for maternal HIV incidence.

designSystematic review and meta-analysis.

methodsWe searched four databases and abstracts from relevant conferences through 1 December 2018, for literature on maternal HIV incidence in SSA. We used random-effects meta-analysis to summarize incidence rates and ratios, and to estimate 95% prediction intervals. We evaluated potential sources of heterogeneity with random-effects meta-regression.

resultsThirty-seven publications contributed 100 758 person-years of follow-up. The estimated average HIV incidence rate among pregnant and breast-feeding women was 3.6 per 100 person-years (95% prediction interval: 1.2--11.1), while the estimated average associations between pregnancy and risk of HIV acquisition, and breast-feeding and risk of HIV acquisition, were close to the null. Wide 95% prediction intervals around summary estimates highlighted the variability of HIV incidence across populations of pregnant and breast-feeding women in SSA. Average HIV incidence appeared associated with age, partner HIV status, and calendar time. Average incidence was highest among studies conducted pre-2010 (4.1/100 person-years, 95% prediction interval: 1.1--12.2) and lowest among studies conducted post-2014 (2.1/100 person-years, 95% prediction interval: 0.7--6.5).

conclusionSubstantial HIV incidence among pregnant and breast-feeding women in SSA, even in the current era of combination HIV prevention and treatment, underscores the need for prevention tailored to high-risk pregnant and breast-feeding women.

Indexed as

Breast FeedingHIV SeropositivityAfrica South of the SaharaFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansPostpartum PeriodPregnancyPregnancy Complications, Infectious

Identifiers

PMID32167990
PMCPMC7275092
OpenAlexW3005051614

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.