Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32163436›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Direct transmission via households informs models of disease and intervention dynamics in cholera.

Victor A Meszaros, Miles D Miller-Dickson, Francis Baffour-Awuah, Salvador Almagro-Moreno, C Brandon Ogbunugafor

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Vibrio Infections and the Twenty-First Century.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Victor A MeszarosDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States of America.
Miles D Miller-DicksonDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States of America.
Francis Baffour-AwuahDepartment of Mathematics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States of America.
Salvador Almagro-MorenoBurnett School of Biomedical Sciences, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1121-1204
C Brandon OgbunugaforDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1581-8345
Brown University · USFlorida State University · USUniversity of Central Florida · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

While several basic properties of cholera outbreaks are common to most settings-the pathophysiology of the disease, the waterborne nature of transmission, and others-recent findings suggest that transmission within households may play a larger role in cholera outbreaks than previously appreciated. Important features of cholera outbreaks have long been effectively modeled with mathematical and computational approaches, but little is known about how variation in direct transmission via households may influence epidemic dynamics. In this study, we construct a mathematical model of cholera that incorporates transmission within and between households. We observe that variation in the magnitude of household transmission changes multiple features of disease dynamics, including the severity and duration of outbreaks. Strikingly, we observe that household transmission influences the effectiveness of possible public health interventions (e.g. water treatment, antibiotics, vaccines). We find that vaccine interventions are more effective than water treatment or antibiotic administration when direct household transmission is present. Summarizing, we position these results within the landscape of existing models of cholera, and speculate on its implications for epidemiology and public health.

Indexed as

Family CharacteristicsCholeraComputer SimulationDisease OutbreaksHumansImmunization ProgramsModels, TheoreticalVaccination

Identifiers

PMID32163436
PMCPMC7067450
OpenAlexW3011110870

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.