Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32161969›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2020

Vaccination With Moderate Coverage Eradicates Oncogenic Human Papillomaviruses If a Gender-Neutral Strategy Is Applied.

Simopekka Vänskä, Tapio Luostarinen, Iacopo Baussano, Dan Apter, Tiina Eriksson, Kari Natunen, Pekka Nieminen, Jorma Paavonen, Ville N Pimenoff, Eero Pukkala and 5 more

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 26 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02149030 naactive not recruitingnot on this map

Effectiveness of Cervical Screening in HPV Vaccinated Women - a Randomized Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorTampere UniversityRan2014 to 2025Enrolled6,958ConditionsCervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 2/3ArmsCytological screening in A1 and A3
NCT04755517 naenrolling by invitationnot on this map

Effectiveness of Cervical Screening in Unvaccinated, Herd Effect Protected Women - A Randomized Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorTampere University HospitalRan2020 to 2025Enrolled14,000ConditionsCervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 2/3, Adenocarcinoma in SituArmsFrequent information of cytological/ HPV DNA screening results
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Increasing HPV Vaccination Uptake among Adolescents: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
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  6. Trial
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  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Review
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  13. The effects of human papillomavirus vaccination in Japan.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2025
    Article
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  18. Review
  19. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 9 institutions in 7 countries.

Simopekka VänskäInfectious Disease Control and Vaccinations, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Tapio LuostarinenFinnish Cancer Registry, Helsinki, Finland.
Iacopo BaussanoInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Dan ApterVL-Medi Oy, Helsinki, Finland.
Tiina ErikssonTampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Kari NatunenTampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Pekka NieminenUniversity of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Jorma PaavonenUniversity of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Ville N PimenoffDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Eero PukkalaTampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Anna Söderlund-StrandDepartment of Clinical Microbiology, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Gary DubinTakeda Pharmaceuticals International, Zurich, Switzerland.
Geoff GarnettGates Foundation, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Joakim DillnerDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Matti LehtinenDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Tampere University · FIKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity of Helsinki · FICentre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRFinnish Cancer Registry · FIGates Foundation · USSkåne University Hospital · SETakeda (Switzerland) · CHVL-Medi Oy (Finland) · FI

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHuman papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination of girls with very high (>90%) coverage has the potential to eradicate oncogenic HPVs, but such high coverage is hard to achieve. However, the herd effect (HE) depends both on the HPV type and the vaccination strategy.

methodsWe randomized 33 Finnish communities into gender-neutral HPV16/18 vaccination, girls-only HPV16/18 vaccination, and hepatitis B virus vaccination arms. In 2007-2010, 11 662 of 20 513 of 40 852 of 39 420 resident boys/girls from 1992 to 1995 birth cohorts consented. In 2010-2014, cervicovaginal samples from vaccinated and unvaccinated girls at age 18.5 years were typed for HPV6/11/16/18/31/33/35/39/45/51/52/56/58/59/66/68. Vaccine efficacy for vaccinated girls, HE for unvaccinated girls, and the protective effectiveness (PE) for all girls were estimated. We extended the community-randomized trial results about vaccination strategy with mathematical modeling to assess HPV eradication.

resultsThe HE and PE estimates in the 1995 birth cohort for HPV18/31/33 were significant in the gender-neutral arm and 150% and 40% stronger than in the girls-only arm. Concordantly, HPV18/31/33 eradication was already predicted in adolescents/young adults in 20 years with 75% coverage of gender-neutral vaccination. With the 75% coverage, eventual HPV16 eradication was also predicted, but only with the gender-neutral strategy.

conclusionsGender-neutral vaccination is superior for eradication of oncogenic HPVs.

Indexed as

VaccinationFemaleHuman papillomavirus 16Human papillomavirus 18HumansImmunity, HerdMaleModels, TheoreticalPapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesPrevalenceSex FactorsTumor Virus InfectionsVaccination CoveragePapillomavirus Vaccineseliminationeradicationgender-neutral vaccinationherd effectshuman papillomavirus

Identifiers

PMID32161969
PMCPMC7430169
OpenAlexW3012034158

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.