Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32158983›Full record

ArticleGeoHealth2017

Impacts of oak pollen on allergic asthma in the United States and potential influence of future climate change.

Susan C Anenberg, Kate R Weinberger, Henry Roman, James E Neumann, Allison Crimmins, Neal Fann, Jeremy Martinich, Patrick L Kinney

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in GeoHealth, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Proteomic identification of allergenic proteins in red oak (The World Allergy Organization journal · 2020
    Article
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  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Evaluating the Risk of Epidemic Thunderstorm Asthma: Lessons from Australia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Susan C AnenbergEnvironmental Health Analytics, LLC Washington District of Columbia USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9668-603X
Kate R WeinbergerInstitute at Brown for Environment & Society Brown University Providence Rhode Island USA.
Henry RomanIndustrial Economics, Inc. Cambridge Massachusetts USA.
James E NeumannIndustrial Economics, Inc. Cambridge Massachusetts USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7553-3037
Allison CrimminsOffice of Air and Radiation U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington District of Columbia USA.
Neal FannOffice of Air and Radiation U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington District of Columbia USA.
Jeremy MartinichOffice of Air and Radiation U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington District of Columbia USA.
Patrick L KinneySchool of Public Health Boston University Boston Massachusetts USA.
Environmental Protection Agency · USBoston University · USBrown University · USEP Analytics (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Future climate change is expected to lengthen and intensify pollen seasons in the U.S., potentially increasing incidence of allergic asthma. We developed a proof-of-concept approach for estimating asthma emergency department (ED) visits in the U.S. associated with present-day and climate-induced changes in oak pollen. We estimated oak pollen season length for moderate (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5) and severe climate change scenarios (RCP8.5) through 2090 using five climate models and published relationships between temperature, precipitation, and oak pollen season length. We calculated asthma ED visit counts associated with 1994-2010 average oak pollen concentrations and simulated future oak pollen season length changes using the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program, driven by epidemiologically derived concentration-response relationships. Oak pollen was associated with 21,200 (95% confidence interval, 10,000-35,200) asthma ED visits in the Northeast, Southeast, and Midwest U.S. in 2010, with damages valued at $10.4 million. Nearly 70% of these occurred among children age <18 years. Severe climate change could increase oak pollen season length and associated asthma ED visits by 5% and 10% on average in 2050 and 2090, with a marginal net present value through 2090 of $10.4 million (additional to the baseline value of $346.2 million). Moderate versus severe climate change could avoid >50% of the additional oak pollen-related asthma ED visits in 2090. Despite several key uncertainties and limitations, these results suggest that aeroallergens pose a substantial U.S. public health burden, that climate change could increase U.S. allergic disease incidence, and that mitigating climate change may have benefits from avoided pollen-related health impacts.

Indexed as

aeroallergensasthmaclimate change

Identifiers

PMID32158983
PMCPMC7007169
OpenAlexW2604391204

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.