Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32154669›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2020

Machine Learning techniques in breast cancer prognosis prediction: A primary evaluation.

Carlo Boeri, Corrado Chiappa, Federica Galli, Valentina De Berardinis, Laura Bardelli, Giulio Carcano, Francesca Rovera

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Breast Cancer Care Delivery and Education: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Article
  3. Assessment of transformer-based AI in clinical oncology.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Carlo BoeriSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Corrado ChiappaSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-6153-3156
Federica GalliSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Valentina De BerardinisSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Laura BardelliSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Giulio CarcanoSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Francesca RoveraSSD Breast Unit - ASST-Settelaghi Varese, Senology Research Center, Department of Medicine, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

More than 750 000 women in Italy are surviving a diagnosis of breast cancer. A large body of literature tells us which characteristics impact the most on their prognosis. However, the prediction of each disease course and then the establishment of a therapeutic plan and follow-up tailored to the patient is still very complicated. In order to address this issue, a multidisciplinary approach has become widely accepted, while the Multigene Signature Panels and the Nottingham Prognostic Index are still discussed options. The current technological resources permit to gather many data for each patient. Machine Learning (ML) allows us to draw on these data, to discover their mutual relations and to esteem the prognosis for the new instances. This study provides a primary evaluation of the application of ML to predict breast cancer prognosis. We analyzed 1021 patients who underwent surgery for breast cancer in our Institute and we included 610 of them. Three outcomes were chosen: cancer recurrence (both loco-regional and systemic) and death from the disease within 32 months. We developed two types of ML models for every outcome (Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machine). Each ML algorithm was tested in accuracy (=95.29%-96.86%), sensitivity (=0.35-0.64), specificity (=0.97-0.99), and AUC (=0.804-0.916). These models might become an additional resource to evaluate the prognosis of breast cancer patients in our daily clinical practice. Before that, we should increase their sensitivity, according to literature, by considering a wider population sample with a longer period of follow-up. However, specificity, accuracy, minimal additional costs, and reproducibility are already encouraging.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMachine LearningNeural Networks, ComputerBreast NeoplasmsCombined Modality TherapyDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansItalyMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival RatealgorithmArtificial Neural Network (ANN)breast cancerpredictive modelsSupport Vector Machine (SVM)

Identifiers

PMID32154669
PMCPMC7196042

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.