Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32152154›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Use of the Aptima mRNA high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) assay compared to a DNA HR-HPV assay in the English cervical screening programme: a decision tree model based economic evaluation.

Georgie Weston, Caroline Dombrowski, Michael J Harvey, Thomas Iftner, Maria Kyrgiou, Christina Founta, Elisabeth J Adams

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Georgie WestonAquarius Population Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3019-7150
Caroline DombrowskiAquarius Population Health, London, UK.
Michael J HarveyAquarius Population Health, London, UK.
Thomas IftnerDepartment of Medical Virology, University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
Maria KyrgiouInstitute of Reproductive and Developmental Biology, Department of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Christina FountaDepartment of Gynaecological Oncology, Musgrove Park Hospital, Taunton & Somerset NHS Foundation Trust, Taunton, Somerset, UK.
Elisabeth J AdamsAquarius Population Health, London, UK elisabeth.adams@aquariusph.com.
Aquarius Population Health · GBImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust · GBMusgrove Park Hospital · GBUniversity Children's Hospital Tübingen · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the impact of using the Aptima messenger RNA (mRNA) high-risk human papilloma virus (HR-HPV) assay versus a DNA HR-HPV assay in a primary HPV cervical screening programme.

designOne hypothetical cohort followed for 3 years through HPV primary cervical screening.

settingEngland.

participantsA hypothetical cohort of women aged 25-65 years tested in the National Health Service (NHS) Cervical Screening Programme (CSP) for first call or routine recall testing.

methodsA decision tree parameterised with data from the CSP (2017/18) and the HORIZON study. Uncertainty analyses were conducted using data from the FOCAL and GAST studies, other DNA HPV tests in addition to one-way and probabilistic sensitivity and scenarios analyses, to test the robustness of results.

interventionsAptima mRNA HR-HPV assay and a DNA HR-HPV assay (cobas 4800 HPV assay).

main outcome measuresPrimary: total colposcopies and total costs for the cohort. Secondary: total HPV and cytology tests, number lost to follow-up.

resultsAt baseline for a population of 2.25 million women, an estimated £15.4 million (95% credibility intervals (CI) £6.5 to 24.1 million) could be saved and 28 009 (95% CI 27 499 to 28 527) unnecessary colposcopies averted if Aptima mRNA assays are used instead of a DNA assay, with 90 605 fewer unnecessary HR-HPV and 253 477 cytology tests performed. These savings are due to a lower number of HPV positive samples in the mRNA arm. When data from other primary HPV screening trials were compared, results indicated that using the Aptima mRNA assay generated cost savings and reduced testing in every scenario.

conclusionUsing the Aptima mRNA assay versus a DNA assay would almost certainly yield cost savings and reduce unnecessary testing and procedures, benefiting the NHS and women in the CSP.

Indexed as

AlphapapillomavirusPapillomavirus InfectionsAdultAgedCost-Benefit AnalysisDecision TreesDNA, ViralEarly Detection of CancerEnglandFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPregnancyRNA, MessengerSensitivity and SpecificityState MedicineDNA, ViralRNA, Messengercolposcopygynaecological oncologyhealth economicsmicrobiologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID32152154
PMCPMC7064071
OpenAlexW3010581153

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.