Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32140664›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2020

Scaling up screening and treatment for elimination of hepatitis C among men who have sex with men in the era of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis.

Louis Macgregor, Monica Desai, Natasha K Martin, Jane Nicholls, Ford Hickson, Peter Weatherburn, Matthew Hickman, Peter Vickerman

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Louis MacgregorUniversity of Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove BS8 2BN, UK.
Monica DesaiNational Institute for Health and Care Excellence, 10 Spring Gardens, London, SW1A 2BU.
Natasha K MartinUniversity of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive MC0507, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States.
Jane NichollsUniversity of Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove BS8 2BN, UK.
Ford HicksonFaculty of Public Health & Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK.
Peter WeatherburnFaculty of Public Health & Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London WC1H 9SH, UK.
Matthew HickmanUniversity of Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove BS8 2BN, UK.
Peter VickermanUniversity of Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove BS8 2BN, UK.
University of Bristol · GBFaculty of Public Health · GBNational Institute for Health and Care Excellence · GB

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI David Mitchell Smith · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Modeling Structural HIV Determinants in Substance Users and related populationsR01DA037773 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MARTIN, NATASHA, STRATHDEE, STEFFANIE A. · 2015 to 2017
$1.4M
Department of Health RP-DG-0610-10055Department of Health RP-PG-0616-20008NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037773
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRoutine HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and HIV care appointments provide opportunities for screening men who have sex with men (MSM) for hepatitis C virus infection (HCV). However, levels of screening required for achieving the WHO elimination target of reducing HCV incidence by 90% by 2030 among all MSM are unknown.

methodsAn HCV/HIV transmission model was calibrated to UK prevalence of HIV among MSM (4·7%) and chronic HCV infection among HIV-positive MSM (9·9%) and HIV-negative MSM (1.2%). Assuming 12·5% coverage of PrEP among HIV-negative MSM, we evaluated the relative reduction in overall HCV incidence by 2030 (compared to 2018 levels) of HCV screening every 12/6-months (alongside completing direct acting antiviral treatment within 6-months of diagnosis) in PrEP users and/or HIV-diagnosed MSM. We estimated the additional screening required among HIV-negative non-PrEP users to reduce overall incidence by 90% by 2030. The effect of 50% reduction in condom use among PrEP users (risk compensation) was estimated.

resultsScreening and treating PrEP users for HCV every 12 or 6-months decreases HCV incidence by 67·3% (uncertainty range 52·7-79·2%) or 70·2% (57·1-80·8%), respectively, increasing to 75·4% (59·0-88·6%) or 78·8% (63·9-90·4%) if HIV-diagnosed MSM are also screened at same frequencies. Risk compensation reduces these latter projections by <10%. To reduce HCV incidence by 90% by 2030 without risk compensation, HIV-negative non-PrEP users require screening every 5·6 (3·8-9·2) years if MSM on PrEP and HIV-diagnosed MSM are screened every 6-months, shortening to 4·4 (3·1-6·6) years with risk compensation. For 25·0% PrEP coverage, the HCV elimination target can be reached without screening HIV-negative MSM not on PrEP, irrespective of risk compensation.

interpretationAt low PrEP coverage, increased screening of all MSM is required to achieve the WHO HCV-elimination targets for MSM in the UK, whereas at higher PrEP coverage this is possible through just screening HIV-diagnosed MSM and PrEP users.

Indexed as

Antiviral treatmentART, Anti-retroviral therapyDAA, Direct acting antiviralEMIS, The European Men-Who-Have-Sex-With-Men Internet SurveyHCV, Hepatitis C virusHepatitis C virusHIVHIV, Human immunodeficiency virusMen who have sex with menMSM, Men who have sex with menNHS, National Health ServicePLHIV, People living with HIVPre-exposure prophylaxisPrEP, Pre-exposure prophylaxisPreventionRisk compensationSTIs, Sexually transmitted infectionsUK CHIC, UK Collaborative HIV CohortWHO, World Health organisation

Identifiers

PMID32140664
PMCPMC7046521
OpenAlexW2996569926

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.