ArticleTobacco control2021
Measuring the illicit cigarette market in Mexico: a cross validation of two methodologies.
Article in Tobacco control, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.
- Tobacco industry pricing strategies during recent tax adjustments in Mexico: evidence from sales data.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- Unlocking the power of tobacco taxation to mitigate the social costs of smoking in Mexico: a microsimulation model.Health policy and planning · 2024Article
- The Use of Packaging Descriptors in a Rapidly Growing Market for Capsule Cigarettes: Evidence From Mexico.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Article
- Estimating the Size of Illicit Tobacco Market in Lithuania: Results from the Discarded Pack Collection Method.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2023Article
- Illicit tobacco trade: empty pack survey in eight Argentinean cities.Tobacco control · 2022Article
- Measuring the illicit cigarette market in the absence of pack security features: a case study of South Africa.Tobacco control · 2022Article
- Illicit trade in tobacco products: recent trends and coming challenges.Tobacco control · 2022Article
- The distributional effects of tobacco tax increases across regions in Mexico: an extended cost-effectiveness analysis.International journal for equity in health · 2022Article
- Recent evidence on the illicit cigarette trade in Latin America.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Advances in tobacco control in the Region of the Americas, 2020.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Lessons learned from fostering tobacco taxes in the Americas and implications for other health taxes.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Measuring anomalies in cigarette sales using official data from Spanish provinces: Are the anomalies detected by the Empty Pack Surveys (EPSs) used by Transnational Tobacco Companies (TTCs) the only anomalies?Tobacco induced diseases · 2021Article
- [Advances in tobacco control in the Region of the Americas, 2020Avanços no controle do tabagismo na Região das Américas 2020].Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2021Article
- Illicit Tobacco in Lithuania: A Cross-Sectional Survey.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo compare two methods to estimate the magnitude of the illicit cigarette trade in Mexico and to contrast these results with tobacco industry figures.
methodsWe used two survey methods: a smoker survey and a discarded pack survey. Data were collected in eight major cities in Mexico between November and December 2017. A total of 2396 face-to-face interviews to adult smokers were conducted and 8204 discarded packs were collected. To determine whether cigarette packs were intended for the Mexican market, we analysed pack features required by Mexican regulations and self-reported brands of the last purchase. Standard statistical tests to compare proportions were employed. Correlates of illicit cigarette use were also analysed.
resultsThe share of cigarettes not intended for the Mexican market was 8.8% based on the analysis of discarded packs and 7.6% based on the survey of smokers, that is, the difference was small and only borderline significant overall (p=0.055). Also, both results were lower than those presented by the tobacco industry (16.6%). However, differences across methods were statistically significant for various cities.
conclusionOur results suggest that the optimal practice for the study of illicit trade is to cross validate estimates using both the smoker survey and the littered pack survey. If resources are limited, however, our findings indicate that either method could be used because both yield similar overall results, as longs as the potential biases are considered. Also, consistent with findings from other studies, our results suggest that the tobacco industry exaggerates the scope of illicit cigarette trade.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.