Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32138748›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2020

Quantifying the economic cost of antibiotic resistance and the impact of related interventions: rapid methodological review, conceptual framework and recommendations for future studies.

Mark Jit, Dorothy Hui Lin Ng, Nantasit Luangasanatip, Frank Sandmann, Katherine E Atkins, Julie V Robotham, Koen B Pouwels

Open access · goldAbstract readLetter
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 58 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
58citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
7.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

58 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 95 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. β-Lactam-Resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae Dynamics Following Treatment: A Dose-Response Meta-analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
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  7. Cost-effectiveness analysis of procalcitonin and lung ultrasonography guided antibiotic prescriptions in primary care.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 5 countries.

Mark JitThe National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Immunisation, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. mark.jit@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-6658-8255
Dorothy Hui Lin NgDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.
Nantasit LuangasanatipThe National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Immunisation, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Frank SandmannThe National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Immunisation, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Katherine E AtkinsThe National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Immunisation, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Julie V RobothamModelling and Economics Unit, National Infections Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Koen B PouwelsModelling and Economics Unit, National Infections Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Public Health England · GBMahidol University · THNational Institute for Health Research · GBSingapore General Hospital · SG

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1180644National Institute for Health Research HPRU-2012-10041National Institute for Health Research HPRU-2012-10047National Institute for Health Research HPRU-2012-10096
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAntibiotic resistance (ABR) poses a major threat to health and economic wellbeing worldwide. Reducing ABR will require government interventions to incentivise antibiotic development, prudent antibiotic use, infection control and deployment of partial substitutes such as rapid diagnostics and vaccines. The scale of such interventions needs to be calibrated to accurate and comprehensive estimates of the economic cost of ABR.

methodsA conceptual framework for estimating costs attributable to ABR was developed based on previous literature highlighting methodological shortcomings in the field and additional deductive epidemiological and economic reasoning. The framework was supplemented by a rapid methodological review.

resultsThe review identified 110 articles quantifying ABR costs. Most were based in high-income countries only (91/110), set in hospitals (95/110), used a healthcare provider or payer perspective (97/110), and used matched cohort approaches to compare costs of patients with antibiotic-resistant infections and antibiotic-susceptible infections (or no infection) (87/110). Better use of methods to correct biases and confounding when making this comparison is needed. Findings also need to be extended beyond their limitations in (1) time (projecting present costs into the future), (2) perspective (from the healthcare sector to entire societies and economies), (3) scope (from individuals to communities and ecosystems), and (4) space (from single sites to countries and the world). Analyses of the impact of interventions need to be extended to examine the impact of the intervention on ABR, rather than considering ABR as an exogeneous factor.

conclusionsQuantifying the economic cost of resistance will require greater rigour and innovation in the use of existing methods to design studies that accurately collect relevant outcomes and further research into new techniques for capturing broader economic outcomes.

Indexed as

Drug Resistance, MicrobialAnti-Bacterial AgentsCohort StudiesHumansAnti-Bacterial AgentsAntibioticsAntimicrobial resistanceEconomic costsEconomic evaluation

Identifiers

PMID32138748
PMCPMC7059710
OpenAlexW3012172695

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.