Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32127477›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Science is not a signal detection problem.

Brent M Wilson, Christine R Harris, John T Wixted

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Examining replicability in addictions research: How to assess and ways forward.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2022
    Pooled it
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  15. Science as collaborative knowledge generation.The British journal of social psychology · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Signal detection continues to be part of science.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  18. Reply to Pek et al.: Science is not the signal detection problem it is ordinarily thought to be.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  19. Consideration of Sample Size in Neuroscience Studies.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2020
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Brent M WilsonDepartment of Psychology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093 b6wilson@ucsd.edu jwixted@ucsd.edu.
Christine R HarrisDepartment of Psychology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093.
John T WixtedDepartment of Psychology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093 b6wilson@ucsd.edu jwixted@ucsd.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The perceived replication crisis and the reforms designed to address it are grounded in the notion that science is a binary signal detection problem. However, contrary to null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) logic, the magnitude of the underlying effect size for a given experiment is best conceptualized as a random draw from a continuous distribution, not as a random draw from a dichotomous distribution (null vs. alternative). Moreover, because continuously distributed effects selected using a

Indexed as

null hypothesis significance testingreplication crisissignal detection theory

Identifiers

PMID32127477
PMCPMC7084063

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.