Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32123898›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular research2020

Loss of life expectancy from air pollution compared to other risk factors: a worldwide perspective.

Jos Lelieveld, Andrea Pozzer, Ulrich Pöschl, Mohammed Fnais, Andy Haines, Thomas Münzel

Erratum issuedAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 192 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
192citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

192 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Ambient Air Pollution and Respiratory Health in Sub-Saharan African Children: A Cross-Sectional Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  8. Validation and Correction of PMACS environmental Au · 2026
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  20. Chronic PMScientific reports · 2026
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132 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jos LelieveldAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany.
Andrea PozzerAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany.
Ulrich PöschlAtmospheric Chemistry Department, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany.
Mohammed FnaisCollege of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Andy HainesDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Thomas MünzelUniversity Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsLong-term exposure of humans to air pollution enhances the risk of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. A novel Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM) has been derived from many cohort studies, providing much-improved coverage of the exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5). We applied the GEMM to assess excess mortality attributable to ambient air pollution on a global scale and compare to other risk factors. METHODS AND

resultsWe used a data-informed atmospheric model to calculate worldwide exposure to PM2.5 and ozone pollution, which was combined with the GEMM to estimate disease-specific excess mortality and loss of life expectancy (LLE) in 2015. Using this model, we investigated the effects of different pollution sources, distinguishing between natural (wildfires, aeolian dust) and anthropogenic emissions, including fossil fuel use. Global excess mortality from all ambient air pollution is estimated at 8.8 (7.11-10.41) million/year, with an LLE of 2.9 (2.3-3.5) years, being a factor of two higher than earlier estimates, and exceeding that of tobacco smoking. The global mean mortality rate of about 120 per 100 000 people/year is much exceeded in East Asia (196 per 100 000/year) and Europe (133 per 100 000/year). Without fossil fuel emissions, the global mean life expectancy would increase by 1.1 (0.9-1.2) years and 1.7 (1.4-2.0) years by removing all potentially controllable anthropogenic emissions. Because aeolian dust and wildfire emission control is impracticable, significant LLE is unavoidable.

conclusionAmbient air pollution is one of the main global health risks, causing significant excess mortality and LLE, especially through cardiovascular diseases. It causes an LLE that rivals that of tobacco smoking. The global mean LLE from air pollution strongly exceeds that by violence (all forms together), i.e. by an order of magnitude (LLE being 2.9 and 0.3 years, respectively).

Indexed as

Global HealthLife ExpectancyAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAir PollutantsAir PollutionCardiovascular DiseasesChildChild, PreschoolEnvironmental ExposureExposure to ViolenceFemaleHumansInfantAir PollutantsOzoneParticulate MatterTobacco Smoke PollutionAir pollutionAnthropogenic emissionsFine particulate matterFossil fuel emissionsLoss of life expectancyNatural emissionsPublic health risks

Identifiers

PMID32123898
PMCPMC7449554

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.