Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32119928›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology2020

Validation and Comparison of Tools for Selecting Individuals to Screen for Barrett's Esophagus and Early Neoplasia.

Joel H Rubenstein, Daniel McConnell, Akbar K Waljee, Valbona Metko, Kimberly Nofz, Maryam Khodadost, Li Jiang, Trivellore Raghunathan

Abstract readComparative StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. AGA Clinical Practice Update on New Technology and Innovation for Surveillance and Screening in Barrett's Esophagus: Expert Review.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2022
    Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Screening for Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma: recent advances and next steps.Diseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Endoscopic Screening of Barrett's Esophagus.Gastrointestinal endoscopy clinics of North America · 2026
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. New Approaches to Screening for Barrett Esophagus.Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Development of a prediction score for Barrett's esophagus in Japanese health checkup settings.Esophagus : official journal of the Japan Esophageal Society · 2024
    Article
  14. Barrett's Esophagus Risk Factors in Patients Without Gastroesophageal Reflux: A Large Population-Based Study.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Article
  15. Improving esophageal cancer screening across the globe: Translating knowledge into action.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2024
    Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. New Techniques to Screen for Barrett Esophagus.Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2023
    Article
  19. Diagnosis and Management of Barrett's Esophagus.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023
    Review
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Joel H RubensteinAnn Arbor Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan. Electronic address: jhr@umich.edu.
Daniel McConnellDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Akbar K WaljeeAnn Arbor Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Valbona MetkoDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Kimberly NofzAnn Arbor Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Maryam KhodadostAnn Arbor Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Li JiangInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Trivellore RaghunathanInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Funding

Validation and Extension of the Michigan Barretts Esophagus pREdiction Tool (M-BERET)I01CX000899 · VA · VETERANS HEALTH ADMINISTRATION · PI RUBENSTEIN, JOEL H · 2015 to 2018
–
CSRD VA I01 CX000899
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsGuidelines suggest endoscopic screening of individuals who are at increased risk for Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Tools based on clinical factors are available for identifying patients at risk, but only some have been validated. We aimed to compare and validate available tools.

methodsWe performed a prospective study of 1241 patients, ages 40 to 79 years, presenting either for their first esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) or their first endoscopic therapy of early neoplastic BE, from April 2015 through June 2018. We calculated risk scores for 6 previously published tools (the Gerson, Locke, Thrift, Michigan BE pREdiction Tool [M-BERET], Nord-Trøndelag Health Study [HUNT], and Kunzmann tools). We also investigated the accuracy of frequency and duration of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), using data from a randomly selected 50% of patients undergoing their first EGD. We compared the ability of all these tools to discriminate patients with BE and early neoplasia from patients without BE, using findings from endoscopy as the reference standard.

resultsBE was detected in 81 of 1152 patients during their first EGD (7.0%). GERD symptoms alone identified patients with BE with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) of 0.579. All of the tools were more accurate in identifying patients with BE than the frequency and duration of GERD (AuROC for GERD, 0.579 vs range for other tools, 0.660-0.695), and predicted risk correlated well with observed risk (calibration). The AUROCs of the HUNT tool (0.796), the M-BERET (0.773), and the Kunzmann tool (0.763) were comparable in discriminating between patients with early neoplasia (n = 94) vs no BE. Each tool was more accurate in discriminating BE with early neoplasia than GERD frequency and duration alone (AuROC, 0.667; P < .01).

conclusionsThe HUNT, M-BERET, and Kunzmann tools identify patients with BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.665 to 0.695, and discriminate patients with early neoplasia from patients without BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.763 to 0.796. These tools are more accurate than frequency and duration of GERD in identifying individuals at risk for neoplastic BE.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesEarly Detection of CancerAdenocarcinomaAdultAgedBarrett EsophagusCross-Sectional StudiesEndoscopy, Digestive SystemEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleGastroesophageal RefluxHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisMass ScreeningReplicationRisk AssessmentScoring System

Identifiers

PMID32119928
PMCPMC7282990

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.