Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32113912›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Directors Association2020

Changes in Long-Term Care Markets: Assisted Living Supply and the Prevalence of Low-Care Residents in Nursing Homes.

Portia Y Cornell, Wenhan Zhang, Kali S Thomas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Directors Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trends in Assisted Living and Memory Care Supply From 2019 to 2023.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Assisted living or nursing home: Who is moving in?Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2023
    Article
  4. Using Medicare Enrollment Data to Identify Beneficiaries in Assisted Living.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Rates of health services use among residents of retirement homes in Ontario: a population-based cohort study.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2022
    Article
  7. Implementing Large-Scale Data-Driven Quality Improvement in Assisted Living.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Trends in Serious Mental Illness in US Assisted Living Compared to Nursing Homes and the Community: 2007-2017.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2021
    Article
  12. Emergency Department Use Among Assisted Living Residents After Hurricane Irma.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Portia Y CornellProvidence VA Medical Center, Providence, RI; Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, RI. Electronic address: portia_cornell@brown.edu.
Wenhan ZhangProvidence VA Medical Center, Providence, RI.
Kali S ThomasProvidence VA Medical Center, Providence, RI; Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, RI.

Funding

Do State Regulations Affect the Outcomes of Assisted Living Residents with Dementia?R01AG057746 · NIA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI THOMAS, KALI ST. MARIE · 2018 to 2020
$2.9M
Defining a National Cohort of Assisted Living ResidentsR21AG047303 · NIA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI THOMAS, KALI ST. MARIE · 2015 to 2016
$444k
Innovative Approaches to Examine Post-Acute Care Outcomes of Older Adults with Traumatic Brain InjuryR21AG059120 · NIA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GUTMAN, ROYI, THOMAS, KALI ST. MARIE · 2018 to 2019
$332k
Evaluating Cash Benefit Programs for Veterans' Long Term CareIK2HX001775 · VA · PROVIDENCE VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI THOMAS, KALI ST. MARIE · 2020 to 2021
–
HSRD VA CDA 14-422HSRD VA IK2 HX001775NIA NIH HHS R01 AG057746NIA NIH HHS R21 AG047303NIA NIH HHS R21 AG059120
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo assess the effect of changes in assisted living (AL) capacity within a market on prevalence of residents with low care needs in nursing homes.

designRetrospective, longitudinal analysis of nursing home markets. SETTING AND

participantsTwelve thousand two hundred fifity-one nursing homes in operation during 2007 and 2014. MEASUREMENTS: We analyzed the percentage of residents in a nursing home who qualified as low-care. For each nursing home, we constructed a market consisting of AL communities, Medicare beneficiaries, and competing nursing homes within a 15-mile radius. We estimated the effect of change in AL beds on prevalence of low-care residents using multivariate linear models with year and nursing home fixed effects.

resultsThe supply of AL beds increased by an average 258 beds per nursing home market (standard deviation = 591) during the study period. The prevalence of low-care residents decreased from an average of 13.0% (median 10.5%) to 12.2% (median 9.5%). In adjusted models, a 100-bed increase in AL supply was associated with a decrease in low-care residents of 0.041 percentage points (P = .026), controlling for changes in market and nursing home characteristics, county demographics, and year and nursing home fixed effects. In markets with a high percentage of its Medicare beneficiaries (≥14%) dual eligible for Medicaid, the effect of AL is stronger, with a 0.066-percentage point decrease per 100 AL beds (P = .026) vs a 0.016-percentage point decrease in low-duals markets (P = .48). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Our analysis suggests that some of the growth in AL capacity serves as a substitute for nursing homes for patients with low care needs. Furthermore, the effects are concentrated in markets with an above-average proportion of beneficiaries with dual Medicaid eligibility.

Indexed as

Long-Term CareMedicareAgedHumansNursing HomesPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesUnited StatesAssisted livinglong-term carenursing home residents

Identifiers

PMID32113912
PMCPMC7396306

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.