ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2020
A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 321 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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321 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 896 citations in OpenAlex.
- Comparative effectiveness of contact tracing interventions in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review.European journal of epidemiology · 2023Pooled it
- Asymptomatic infection and transmission of COVID-19 among clusters: systematic review and meta-analysis.Public health · 2022Pooled it
- Assessment of basic reproductive number for COVID-19 at global level: A meta-analysis.Medicine · 2021Pooled it
- Escalating transmissibility of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in a high-endemic region of China.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Modelling TB-HIV co-infection and evaluating intervention strategies in Thailand.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
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- Development of two-dimension epidemic prediction model.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Modelling COVID-19 pandemic towards comparison of Omicron and Delta variants in Nigeria: development of predictive tools for forecasting and projection.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Modeling COVID-19 transmission: effects of age structure and vaccination.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Bayesian changepoint detection for epidemic models.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Challenges and opportunities in uncertainty quantification for healthcare and biological systems.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025Review
- Prediction and control for the transmission of brucellosis in inner Mongolia, China.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Modeling outbreaks of COVID-19 in China: The impact of vaccination and other control measures on curbing the epidemic.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2024Article
- Stochastic delayed analysis of coronavirus model through efficient computational method.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- A Deep Learning-Enhanced Compartmental Model and Its Application in Modeling Omicron in China.Bioengineering (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Epidemiological feature analysis of SVEIR model with control strategy and variant evolution.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- The Malaria Box molecules: a source for targeting the RBD and NTD cryptic pocket of the spike glycoprotein in SARS-CoV-2.Journal of molecular modeling · 2024Article
- Theoretical Epidemiology Needs Urgent Attention in China.China CDC weekly · 2024Article
- An overview for monitoring and prediction of pathogenic microorganisms in the atmosphere.Fundamental research · 2024Review
261 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAs reported by the World Health Organization, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was identified as the causative virus of Wuhan pneumonia of unknown etiology by Chinese authorities on 7 January, 2020. The virus was named as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) by International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses on 11 February, 2020. This study aimed to develop a mathematical model for calculating the transmissibility of the virus.
methodsIn this study, we developed a Bats-Hosts-Reservoir-People transmission network model for simulating the potential transmission from the infection source (probably be bats) to the human infection. Since the Bats-Hosts-Reservoir network was hard to explore clearly and public concerns were focusing on the transmission from Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market (reservoir) to people, we simplified the model as Reservoir-People (RP) transmission network model. The next generation matrix approach was adopted to calculate the basic reproduction number (R
resultsThe value of R
conclusionsOur model showed that the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 was higher than the Middle East respiratory syndrome in the Middle East countries, similar to severe acute respiratory syndrome, but lower than MERS in the Republic of Korea.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.