Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32108270›Full record

ArticleArchives of osteoporosis2020

Epidemiology of osteoporotic fracture in Kazakhstan and development of a country specific FRAX model.

S Issayeva, O Lesnyak, A Zakroyeva, B Issayeva, D Dilmanova, H Johansson, E Liu, M Lorentzon, N C Harvey, E McCloskey and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of osteoporosis, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Osteoporosis in the Elderly: A Cross-Sectional Study in Kazakhstan.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Epidemiology of hip fracture in Botswana.Archives of osteoporosis · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. A surrogate FRAX model for the Kyrgyz Republic.Archives of osteoporosis · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

S IssayevaAsfendiyarov National Medical University, 94, Tole Bi Street, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 050000.
O LesnyakMechnikov North West State Medical University, 41, Kirochnaya Street, 191015, St. Petersburg, Russia.
A ZakroyevaUral State Medical University, 3, Repina Street, 620028, Yekaterinburg, Russia.
B IssayevaAsfendiyarov National Medical University, 94, Tole Bi Street, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 050000.
D DilmanovaAsfendiyarov National Medical University, 94, Tole Bi Street, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 050000.
H JohanssonMary McKillop Health Institute, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia.
E LiuMary McKillop Health Institute, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia.
M LorentzonMary McKillop Health Institute, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia.
N C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
E McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
J A KanisMary McKillop Health Institute, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia. w.j.pontefract@sheffield.ac.uk.
Kazakh National Medical University · KZAustralian Catholic University · AUUniversity of Sheffield · GBNorth-Western State Medical University named after I.I. Mechnikov · RUUniversity of Gothenburg · SEUniversity of Southampton · GBUral State Medical University · RU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Retrospective and prospective population-based survey in a region of the Republic of Kazakhstan determined the incidence of fractures at the hip, proximal humerus and distal forearm. The hip fracture rates were used to create a FRAX® model to enhance fracture risk assessment in Kazakhstan.

objectiveThis paper describes the epidemiology of osteoporotic fractures in the Republic of Kazakhstan that was used to develop a country specific FRAX® tool for fracture prediction.

methodsWe carried out a retrospective population-based survey in Taldykorgan in the Republic of Kazakhstan representing approximately 1% of the country's population. Hip, forearm and humerus fractures were identified retrospectively in 2015 and 2016 from hospital registers and the trauma centre. Hip fractures were prospectively identified in 2017 from the same sources and additionally from primary care data. Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture and national mortality rates were incorporated into a FRAX model for Kazakhstan. Fracture probabilities were compared with those from neighbouring countries having FRAX models.

resultsThe difference in hip fracture incidence between the retrospective and prospective survey indicated that approximately 25% of hip fracture cases did not come to hospital attention. The incidence of hip fracture applied nationally suggested that the estimated number of hip fractures nationwide in persons over the age of 50 years for 2015 was 11,690 and is predicted to increase by 140% to 28,000 in 2050. Hip fracture incidence was a good predictor of forearm and humeral fractures in men but not in women.

conclusionThe FRAX model should enhance accuracy of determining fracture probability among the Kazakh population and help guide decisions about treatment.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionFemaleForearm InjuriesHip FracturesHospitalsHumansIncidenceKazakhstanMaleMiddle AgedOsteoporotic FracturesProbabilityProspective StudiesEpidemiologyForearm fractureFracture probabilityFRAXHip fractureHumerus fractureKazakhstan

Identifiers

PMID32108270
PMCPMC7046573
OpenAlexW3010153110

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.