Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32099578›Full record

ArticleConflict and health2020

Injury-related deaths before and during the Islamic State insurgency - Baghdad, Iraq, 2010-2015.

Matthew Goers, Eva Leidman, Abdul-Salam Saleh Sultan, Ahmed Hassan, Oleg Bilukha

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Conflict and health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Matthew Goers1Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global Health Protection, Atlanta, GA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8287-3718
Eva Leidman1Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global Health Protection, Atlanta, GA USA.
Abdul-Salam Saleh Sultan2National Training and Human Development Center, Iraq Ministry of Health, Bab Al Mu'adham Street, Baghdad, Iraq.
Ahmed Hassan3Medical Operations and Specialized Services Directorate, Operations Department, Iraq Ministry of Health, Al Adham Street, Baghdad, Iraq.
Oleg Bilukha1Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global Health Protection, Atlanta, GA USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USBaghdad Medical City · IQMinistry of Science and Technology · BA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Following a period of low intensity conflict during 2009-2012, the emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq and Levant (or Islamic State) in 2013 was associated with a resurgence of violence in Baghdad, Iraq's capital and largest city. We evaluated trends in injury-related deaths in Baghdad before and during the Islamic State insurgency. Methods: Iraqi National Injury Mortality Surveillance System prospectively collects information on fatal injuries from governorate coroner offices using standardized reporting forms. Trained coroner clerks collect information on victim demographics, intention of injury and mechanism of injury during medical examinations using reports from police and families. We analyzed data on all deaths reported by the Baghdad Forensic Institute from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2015. Results: There were 17,555 injury-related deaths with documented intent and mechanism (range 2385-3347 per year): 6241 from gunfire (36%), 1381 explosions (8%), 1348 non-gunfire assaults (8%), 3435 traffic accidents (20%), and 5150 other unintentional injuries (29%). Rates of gunfire (23.45 per 100,000) and explosion (5.90 per 100,000) deaths were significantly higher in 2014 than in all other years during the review period ( Conclusions: During the study period, deaths from both gunfire and explosions in Baghdad peaked in 2014, corresponding with emergence of the Islamic State. Trends suggest a potential impact of insurgency-related activity on other injuries as evidenced by a decrease in the death rate from traffic accidents. The decreased traffic-related death rate could be from decreased vehicle and pedestrian activity during times of violence. Monitoring trends in injury mortality during conflict allows Iraq to identify priority injury causes to inform public health interventions.

Indexed as

AssaultsConflictExplosionsGunfireInjury mortalityInterpersonal violenceIraqIslamic stateTraffic accidentsUnintentional injuries

Identifiers

PMID32099578
PMCPMC7029473
OpenAlexW3012815702

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.