Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32097039›Full record

ArticleThe American naturalist2020

Stochasticity and Infectious Disease Dynamics: Density and Weather Effects on a Fungal Insect Pathogen.

Colin H Kyle, Jiawei Liu, Molly E Gallagher, Vanja Dukic, Greg Dwyer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American naturalist, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Weak-form inference for hybrid dynamical systems in ecology.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2024
    Article
  3. Isolation of a NovelJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Colin H Kyle
Jiawei Liu
Molly E Gallagher
Vanja Dukic
Greg Dwyer
University of Chicago · USUniversity of Colorado Boulder · US

Funding

Natural Selection, Host-Pathogen Interactions, and Insect OutbreaksR01GM096655 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI DWYER, GREGORY · 2010 to 2013
$1.2M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM096655
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In deterministic models of epidemics, there is a host abundance threshold above which the introduction of a few infected individuals leads to a severe epidemic. Studies of weather-driven animal pathogens often assume that abundance thresholds will be overwhelmed by weather-driven stochasticity, but tests of this assumption are lacking. We collected observational and experimental data for a fungal pathogen,

Indexed as

Insect ControlWeatherAnimalsEntomophthoralesLarvaModels, BiologicalMothsPopulation DensityStochastic Processesbiological controlenvironmental stochasticityfungal pathogenhost population thresholdSEIR modelstochastic disease model

Identifiers

PMID32097039
PMCPMC10465172
OpenAlexW2984214898

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.