Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32096594›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2020

Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning.

Matthew Biggerstaff, Fredrick Scott Dahlgren, Julia Fitzner, Dylan George, Aspen Hammond, Ian Hall, David Haw, Natsuko Imai, Michael A Johansson, Sarah Kramer and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Matthew BiggerstaffInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5108-8311
Fredrick Scott DahlgrenInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1790-2804
Julia FitznerGlobal Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Dylan GeorgeInQTel Inc, Washington, DC, USA.
Aspen HammondGlobal Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Ian HallDepartment of Mathematics and School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3033-2335
David HawMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Natsuko ImaiMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4218-9716
Michael A JohanssonDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, PR, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5090-7722
Sarah KramerDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
James M McCawModelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2452-3098
Robert MossModelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4568-2012
Richard PebodyImmunisation and Countermeasures Division, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Jonathan M ReadCentre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Faculty of Health and Medicine, Lancaster University, Lancashire, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9697-0962
Carrie ReedInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Nicholas G ReichDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3503-9899
Steven RileyMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7904-4804
Katelijn VandemaeleGlobal Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Cecile ViboudDivision of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MA, USA.
Joseph T WuWHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Funding

Supplemental Training in Making Data FAIR and AI/ML ReadyT32ES007322 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Pam R Factor-Litvak, Allison Kupsco · 2000 to 2026
$12.1M
Statistical methods for real-time forecasts of infectious disease: expanding dynamic time-series and machine learning approaches for pandemic scenariosR35GM119582 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST · PI Nicholas G Reich · 2016 to 2026
$4.8M
Interdisciplinary Training in Climate and HealthT32ES023770 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHAMAN, JEFFREY L · 2014 to 2019
$1.5M
Forecasting International Transmission of Influenza: Development and Validation of a Global ModelF31AI138410 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KRAMER, SARAH CORINNE · 2019 to 2019
$27k
Department of HealthMedical Research Council MC_PC_19012Medical Research Council MR/J008761/1Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI138410NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES007322NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES023770NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM119582US National Institutes of Health GM110748US National Institutes of Health T32ES023770Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 200187/Z/15/ZWellcome Trust 200861/Z/16/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year-to-year and week-to-week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for and responding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinely collect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data on circulating subtypes and use these data for situational awareness, burden of disease estimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling are increasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key features of influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can be translated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informing clinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza Incidence Analytics Group (IIAG), a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics and modelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real-time and thus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data to WHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to health planners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to be immediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code. We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide an attractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonal epidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalDisease OutbreaksForecastingGlobal HealthHealth PlanningHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanPublic HealthSeasonsforecastingincidenceinfluenza

Identifiers

PMID32096594
PMCPMC7040973

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.