Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32094193›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Dynamics of life expectancy and life span equality.

José Manuel Aburto, Francisco Villavicencio, Ugofilippo Basellini, Søren Kjærgaard, James W Vaupel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 96 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
96citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

96 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Frontiers in pharmacology · 2026
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A Double Decomposition of Standard Deviation Below the Modal Age at Death and the Role of Causes of Death.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. For reducing premature adult mortality in India, education matters more than income.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Two universal pathways in demographic transition.Evolutionary human sciences · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Spatial Trends in Mortality Convergence: The Cases of France, Italy, and Spain, 1975-2019.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

36 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

José Manuel AburtoInterdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark; jmaburto@sdu.dk jvaupel@sdu.dk.ORCID 0000-0002-2926-6879
Francisco VillavicencioDepartment of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.ORCID 0000-0003-3951-7341
Ugofilippo BaselliniInterdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark.
Søren KjærgaardInterdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark.
James W VaupelInterdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark; jmaburto@sdu.dk jvaupel@sdu.dk.ORCID 0000-0003-0783-3905

Funding

THE RANGE OF MALE-FEMALE MORTALITY DIFFERENCESP01AG031719 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CHRISTENSEN, KAARE · 2009 to 2020
$10.2M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG031719
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As people live longer, ages at death are becoming more similar. This dual advance over the last two centuries, a central aim of public health policies, is a major achievement of modern civilization. Some recent exceptions to the joint rise of life expectancy and life span equality, however, make it difficult to determine the underlying causes of this relationship. Here, we develop a unifying framework to study life expectancy and life span equality over time, relying on concepts about the pace and shape of aging. We study the dynamic relationship between life expectancy and life span equality with reliable data from the Human Mortality Database for 49 countries and regions with emphasis on the long time series from Sweden. Our results demonstrate that both changes in life expectancy and life span equality are weighted totals of rates of progress in reducing mortality. This finding holds for three different measures of the variability of life spans. The weights evolve over time and indicate the ages at which reductions in mortality increase life expectancy and life span equality: the more progress at the youngest ages, the tighter the relationship. The link between life expectancy and life span equality is especially strong when life expectancy is less than 70 y. In recent decades, life expectancy and life span equality have occasionally moved in opposite directions due to larger improvements in mortality at older ages or a slowdown in declines in midlife mortality. Saving lives at ages below life expectancy is the key to increasing both life expectancy and life span equality.

Indexed as

LongevityAge FactorsDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansLife ExpectancyMaleMortalityPopulation DynamicsPublic HealthSex FactorsSwedenagingdemographylife span variationmortalitypace and shape

Identifiers

PMID32094193
PMCPMC7071894

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.