Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32092231›Full record

ArticleResearch synthesis methods2020

The median and the mode as robust meta-analysis estimators in the presence of small-study effects and outliers.

Fernando P Hartwig, George Davey Smith, Amand F Schmidt, Jonathan A C Sterne, Julian P T Higgins, Jack Bowden

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Research synthesis methods, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Fernando P HartwigPostgraduate Program in Epidemiology, Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3729-0710
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Amand F SchmidtInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, London, UK.
Jonathan A C SterneMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Julian P T HigginsMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Jack BowdenMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2628-3304

Funding

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico 153134/2018Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/5
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Meta-analyses based on systematic literature reviews are commonly used to obtain a quantitative summary of the available evidence on a given topic. However, the reliability of any meta-analysis is constrained by that of its constituent studies. One major limitation is the possibility of small-study effects, when estimates from smaller and larger studies differ systematically. Small-study effects may result from reporting biases (ie, publication bias), from inadequacies of the included studies that are related to study size, or from reasons unrelated to bias. We propose two estimators based on the median and mode to increase the reliability of findings in a meta-analysis by mitigating the influence of small-study effects. By re-examining data from published meta-analyses and by conducting a simulation study, we show that these estimators offer robustness to a range of plausible bias mechanisms, without making explicit modelling assumptions. They are also robust to outlying studies without explicitly removing such studies from the analysis. When meta-analyses are suspected to be at risk of bias because of small-study effects, we recommend reporting the mean, median and modal pooled estimates.

Indexed as

Meta-Analysis as TopicAlgorithmsAspirinBiasCatheterizationComputer SimulationDatabases, FactualData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansModels, StatisticalPublication BiasRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsSodiumStreptokinaseAspirinSodiumStreptokinasemedianmeta-analysismoderobust estimationsmall-study effects

Identifiers

PMID32092231
PMCPMC7359861

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.